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п»ї2020 NFL win totals, odds, predictions, best bets: Proven model picks under 9 wins for Packers.
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated the entire 2020 NFL season 10,000 times.
The Cowboys and 49ers dominated the NFC at various stages during the 70s, 80s and 90s. After building talented rosters over the last several years, both sides are hoping to see similar results in the new decade. In recent days, both teams made major moves, as the 49ers gave George Kittle a five-year, $75 million extension, while the Cowboys signed free agent defensive end Everson Griffen to a one-year, $6 million deal.
At William Hill, the 49ers are tied with the Saints for the highest 2020 NFL win totals in the NFC (10.5) while the Cowboys are tied with three other teams for third in the conference at 9.5. Meanwhile, the Ravens and Chiefs are tied at the top of the league with NFL win totals 2020 of 11.5. Before making any NFL picks on 2020 season-long win totals, be sure to see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. Since its 2015 inception, the model is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks.
And when it comes to NFL win totals, the model is coming off another banner year. In 2019, it went 18-11 on its over-under picks, with three pushes.
Now, the model has generated each team's projected win total, and in many cases it's strikingly different than the Vegas line. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks.
The model's top 2020 NFL win total predictions.
The model says you should go under nine wins for the Green Bay Packers. In fact, after 10,000 simulations, the Packers average 8.1 wins, meaning they fail to meet their total by nearly a full game.
The Packers had an opportunity to add a dynamic weapon to an offense that lacked explosiveness despite making it to the NFC Championship Game, and that's what quarterback Aaron Rodgers thought he was getting when the franchise traded up in the 2020 NFL Draft. Instead, they selected Utah State quarterback Jordan Love.
Green Bay ranked ninth in total defense in 2019, with Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith completely revitalizing the team's pass rush with 25.5 combined sacks. However, the offense held them back at times and finished last year ranked 15th in total offense and 18th in scoring.
Adding support for Rodgers, Aaron Jones and Davante Adams on that side of the ball, either in free agency or via the draft, would have put the Packers into a much better position to replicate their 2019 success. Instead, their biggest offseason addition was wide receiver Devin Funchess, who elected to opt out of the 2020 season because of the coronavirus pandemic. Now, the Packers will take on a first-place schedule and the model projects they'll struggle to get to their nine-win total.
How to make 2020 NFL win total picks.
The model also generated huge disparities on other teams, including the Eagles. Philadelphia posted nine wins a year ago and saw a full 16-game season from quarterback Carson Wentz. Oddsmakers set Philly's 2020 win total at 9.5, and the projection model has a strong opinion on the team's fortunes. You can see every projected win total for every team right here.
So which teams sail past their projected 2020 NFL win totals? What is the model's surprising forecast for the Eagles? And how many wins will every single NFL team have this season? Visit SportsLine now to get the best season win total bets, plus see every team's projected record, all from the proven computer model that crushed its NFL win total picks last year.
2020 NFL Draft: Wonderlic test scores revealed, Tua Tagovailoa ranks lowest among quarterbacks, per report.
Joe Burrow, the projected No.1 overall pick, had a high score.
Tua Tagovailoa is one of the top quarterback prospects in the 2020 NFL Draft, even though there's a mystery where the talented quarterback will be taken in the first round as he comes back from injury. For those looking for another reason to dip Tagovailoa's draft stock, his Wonderlic test scores are ammunition for a red flag.
Tagovailoa scored a 13 on the Wonderlic test, the lowest score among the quarterbacks in the 2020 draft class (per The Athletic's Bob McGinn). LSU's Joe Burrow, the projected No. 1 overall pick in the draft, had the third-highest score at 34. Iowa's Nate Stanley scored the highest grade at 40, followed by Georgia's Jake Fromm at 35.
The Wonderlic test is used at the NFL scouting combine, with quarterbacks and offensive linemen usually posting higher scores than the average of 20. The test is used to measure general cognitive ability in three areas: math, vocabulary, and reasoning. The test has 50 multiple choice questions that are to be answered in 12 minutes.
The test is graded on a 50-point system with 50 points being the highest score. Punter Pat McInally, a fifth-round pick of the Cincinnati Bengals in 1975, recored the only perfect score on the test. Former Philadelphia Eagles defensive end Mike Mamula scored a 49 on the test in 1995, which helped his stock accelerate towards becoming a first-round pick (No. 7 overall). The highest recorded score for a quarterback is Ryan Fitzpatrick at 48. The Harvard grad was a seventh-round pick in the 2005 NFL Draft.
Having a low score on the Wonderlic doesn't mean Tagovailoa won't have success in the NFL. Hall of Fame quarterbacks Jim Kelly and Dan Marino each scored a 15 and still ended up becoming one of the top quarterbacks of their era. Donovan McNabb had a score of 14 on the test and went 98-62-1 in 13 seasons, making six Pro Bowls. 2019 NFL MVP Lamar Jackson scored a 13 on the test.
Here's a look at the scores of the 12 quarterbacks who took the Wonderlic in 2020:
Nate Stanley (Iowa): 40 Jake Fromm (Georgia); 35 Joe Burrow (LSU): 34 Jake Luton (Oregon State): 29 Jordan Love (Utah State): 27 Justin Herbert (Oregon): 25 Anthony Gordon (Washington State): 25 Brian Lewerke (Michigan State): 25 Jacob Eason (Washington): 23 James Morgan (Florida International): 23 Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma): 18 Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama): 13.
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I took the Wonderlic test and failed it. Before you look down on a draft prospect’s score, you should try it too.
Before you look down on a player’s Wonderlic score, I’d advise you to take it.
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Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports.
The Wonderlic test is one of subplots of evert NFL Combine. While most people focus on the physical test results, the Wonderlic puts the mental makeup of draft prospects to the test. Developed in 1936, its use in NFL evaluation is attributed to former Dallas Cowboys coach Tom Landry.
Potential draftees have 12 minutes to answer 50 questions.
So I wanted to know: Just how hard is it?
From my very unofficial experience: Pretty friggin’ hard. I only finished 25 of the 50 questions before the time ran out on a sample wonderlic test website, but did get 15 of them right.
I probably had the wrong strategy, and some pretty suspect time management. But if I blazed through the test and answered more questions, I expect I would have gotten more wrong because the questions are designed to trip you up.
Here are a few samples:
For reference, this 2015 table lists all the Wonderlic scores for starting QBs in the league at that time.
Many of the scores in the 20s or 30s.
Wonderlic scores for QBs in 2015.
Like everything about the pre-draft process, the Wonderlic test should be just one of a complex tapestry of player evaluation. There’s also nothing to suggest that proficiency on the test is indicative one way or the other of on-field success.
There are myriad problems with the fact that the Wonderlic test is still used and how much is extrapolated from it.
A wonderlic result doesn’t take into account a players’ level of test anxiety or other factors such as educational training for standardized tests in the past. Also just because a player is “book smart” doesn’t mean he lacks the incredible amount of skill in mental processing and spatial awareness that it takes to score a touchdown or make a tackle.
But next time you see a bad Wonderlic test reported, take a whack at it yourself and understand that it’s not as easy as it sounds.
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