02-08-2021, 09:03 PM
п»їNFL Rookie of the Year 2020-21: Award Candidates, Odds and Predictions.
Not every player immediately succeeds upon making the jump from college football to the NFL. However, for some, the transition looks easy.
That was the case for several standout rookies during the 2020 season, as there were quite a few first-year players who had impressive showings in their debut campaign. Two of those rookies will be honored on Saturday, when the Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year Awards are announced during NFL Honors, which will air at 9 p.m. ET on CBS.
Here's a look at the odds for both rookie awards (via Sports Betting Dime), along with predictions for who will receive each honor.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds, Prediction.
Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert: -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
Herbert was the third quarterback selected when he was picked by the Chargers with the No. 6 overall pick in the 2020 NFL draft, coming off the board after Joe Burrow (No. 1 to the Cincinnati Bengals) and Tua Tagovailoa (No. 5 to the Miami Dolphins). Yet, it will be the former Oregon quarterback who ends up being the 2020 Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Los Angeles initially began the season with veteran Tyrod Taylor as its starting quarterback. However, Taylor suffered a punctured lung just before the Chargers' Week 2 game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Herbert got the opportunity to start that contest, and he never relinquished the job.
In 15 games, Herbert passed for 4,336 yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He set the NFL rookie records for passing yards, passing touchdowns and completions (396).
After the Chargers started 3-9, they ended the season with a four-game winning streak. And while they missed out on the playoffs, Herbert's play provided optimism for the future, as Los Angeles appears to have found a franchise quarterback.
Jefferson and Taylor each had remarkable rookie seasons as well. Jefferson was the Vikings' leading receiver, hauling in 88 passes for 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns in 16 games. Taylor was the Colts' leading rusher, running for 1,169 yards and 11 touchdowns, and he also contributed 36 receptions for 299 yards and a touchdown.
However, it's hard to pick against Herbert, who quickly established himself as a strong NFL quarterback. He passed for more than 300 yards in a game eight times, and he had six games with three or more passing touchdowns (including four straight beginning in Week 4).
Now, Herbert's standout debut season will end with him receiving the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award, beating Jefferson and Taylor by a sizable margin.
Prediction: Herbert wins Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds, Prediction.
Washington Football Team DE Chase Young: -375.
Expectations were high for Young, who was selected with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2020 NFL draft. He was the first defensive player to come off the board, and he was joining a Washington team that already had a solid defensive front.
Over 15 games, Young proved he was going to fit in with Washington's other pass rushers quite nicely.
Young quickly proved that he's going to be a defensive playmaker, as he finished his rookie season with 44 tackles, 7.5 sacks, four forced fumbles and three fumble recoveries. He also scored his first career NFL touchdown, scooping up a fumble and returning it 47 yards for a score in Washington's Week 14 win over the San Francisco 49ers.
It wasn't expected for Washington to reach the playoffs this season, but it did, capitalizing on a down year for the NFC East. It overcame a 2-7 start by winning five of its last seven games, and Young played a major role in helping it do so, even being named a team captain heading into Week 16.
There were several other standout defensive rookies around the NFL. Chinn had 117 tackles, a sack, two forced fumbles, two fumble recoveries, an interception and two touchdowns in 15 games for Carolina. Winfield had 94 tackles, three sacks, two forced fumbles, a fumble recovery and an interception in 16 games for Tampa Bay. And Queen had 106 tackles, three sacks, two forced fumbles, two fumble recoveries, an interception and a touchdown in 16 games for Baltimore.
But Young was the most impressive, becoming a leader for Washington. And even though veteran Ryan Kerrigan may not return to the team next season, Washington is set with Young and 2019 first-round pick Montez Sweat on the edges, potentially for many years to come.
It will be a bit closer than the voting for Offensive Rookie of the Year, but expect Young to receive Defensive Rookie of the Year honors, adding another accolade to his impressive, growing resume.
Prediction: Young wins Defensive Rookie of the Year.
NCAAF Lines, Odds, and Betting Trends.
How to Use the Odds Comparison Tool.
Are you in a state or traveling to a state with legal sports betting, such as New Jersey, Indiana or West Virginia? Our odds comparison tool is just for you.
Highlighting the best lines — spreads, totals and moneylines — from multiple sportsbooks across the sports betting industry, use our odds tool to add line-shopping to your sports betting routine. Doing so will save you time and money while betting on college football, NFL, NBA and more! Simply click on spreads, totals or moneylines underneath Bet Type. Highlighting the line in red, the tool will direct you to best sportsbook for all of your favorite college football picks. And of course, start by learning how to read lines if you’re new to sports betting.
Additionally, each sportsbook featured in our odds comparison tool has a welcome promo for all new users. Click on the bet you want and sign up today to take advantage of free bets and/or deposit bonuses at various sportsbooks !
Of course, if you are new to college football betting, or sports betting in general, you first need to understand what you are looking at in terms of NCAAF spreads, moneylines and point totals.
NCAAF Betting Glossary & Tips.
College Betting Tip: Key numbers are not as important in college football as they are in the NFL. College football games often have larger point spreads, and there’s more parity between teams. Still, finding the best lines by using an odds comparison tool and all the legal US sportsbooks available to you is vital if you want to profit betting against the spread.
College Betting Tip: Moneyline betting in college football is even less popular than it is in the NFL. For a lot of games with larger spreads, moneylines aren’t even available. With public bettors leaning towards favorites, there is generally more value betting on underdogs, specifically underdogs that are getting 2 -6.5 points on the spread.
Total (Over/Under) – Betting on the Over/Under or point total means you’re placing bets on the total number of points scored by both teams. So if a game has a total (or Over/Under) of 65 points before kickoff, you can bet on Over or Under 65 total combined points between the two teams for the entire game. Points scored in overtime are included, which can really rack up in a college football overtime. Additionally, there are point totals for quarters and halves.
College Betting Tip: Focus on a conference or a few specific teams when handicapping college football point totals. With so many college football teams and games, oddsmakers are at a disadvantage. You don’t have to beat them on every game, you just need to pick a few spots where you think they’re wrong, which happens a lot more on a college football betting slate than say an NFL Sunday.
Vigorish (vig) or Juice – Ever wonder how sportsbooks turn a profit? It’s the vigorish or juice, i.e., the fee sportsbooks take when sports bettors place wagers. This fee is imbedded in the betting ling, giving sportsbooks a mathematical advantage. Sportsbooks typically have a vig of -110 on both sides of a bet, meaning you have to risk $110 for every $100 you want to win. Taking into account the vigorish, you need to win not half of your bets but at least 52.4% to break even. While -110 is typical, some sportsbooks are nicer than others when it comes to charging bettors juice. You will want to use SAO’s odds tool to find which sportsbooks are charging the least amount for all of your college football picks.
College Betting Tip: College football is a softer betting market than the NFL, making it easier to win over 52.4% of your bets.
Other College Football Betting Terms.
Parlay – A parlay involves two or more picks, all of which have to win outright to payout. You have a five-team parlay, and all but one game wins? You hit 80% of your bets, but your parlay still loses just the same as if you went 0-for-5. Two-team parlays traditionally pay 2.6-to-1, three-team parlays pay 6-to-1, four-team parlays pay 10-to-1, etc. Though we refer to these as “two-team parlays,” parlays can consist of picks on the point totals and sometimes even props. Use our parlay calculator for your convenience.
College Betting Tip: Parlays attract bettors, especially beginning bettors, with large payouts. But don’t be fooled. Unless you’re confident you have a large edge in two or more games, betting parlays will eat away your sports betting bankroll.
Teasers – Like a parlay, teasers require more than one pick, and all picks in your teaser must hit. Teasers are a way college football bettors can move multiple point spreads (or totals) to their favor. Since the points are adjusted for the bettor, teasers do not have the large payouts that parlays do.
College Betting Tip: College football games tend to have larger point totals and spreads than NFL games. You can find point totals anywhere from 60-80 points, especially in a pass-happy conference like the Big 12. College football scores are much more volatile than NFL scores, making college football teasers less advantageous.
Live Betting – Live betting occurs after a game starts. Did you sleep in and miss the kickoff of an early 11 am college football game? Don’t tilt! Most US sportsbooks will have live lines available for you to bet on while the game is still in progress.
College Betting Tip: Your team takes an early lead, but an injury or specific scheme leaves you concerned about your bet? Use live lines to hedge your original pre-game bet, minimizing your potential losses. In some cases, you can use live lines to find “middling” opportunities. A “middle” is when you use two different spreads to bet on and against the same team. You can win both bets if the scoring margin falls in between the two spreads. Bettors can also use live lines to middle the Over/Under.
College Football Las Vegas Odds.
Spread В· Money Line В· 1st Half Page 1 В· Page 2.
Where to Bet: WynnBET FanDuel BetMGM DraftKings Fox Bet Bet365 PointsBet Unibet BetRivers All.
How to read College Football Las Vegas Odds.
Similar to our Money Line and 1st Half Odds, every matchup is listed in order of Rotation and those numbers are preceded by the Date and Time of the College Football game.
The rotation for college football games typically lists them by scheduled starting time, which can lead to some confusion since the number will remain the same even if the games wind up changing due to television networks often shifting around action to present more attractive matchups. Home teams are listed at the bottom and will therefore be your even-numbered squad.
The numbers next to the teams are called Spreads or Point-Spreads .
If there is no favorite or underdog, the line is called pick’em and is represented by (PK). Winner takes it. The amount of points a team is favored by is set by oddsmakers on Sunday afternoons and that figure fluctuates throughout the week based on the amount of money coming in on bets.
Opposite from the spread you’ll find the Total , which represents what oddsmakers believe will be the combined number of points scored between the teams. That number also increases or decreases based on bets coming in on the Over or Under .
How to Bet College Football Las Vegas Odds.
The key to wagering successfully in college football spread betting is to decide early how many points you’re willing to lay with Favorites and to get in at the lowest possible spot.
If you’re going to back the Underdog , make sure you’re getting the most points possible entering the game. The skill in this often requires you to forecast how a game will be wagered since we often see opening lines bet up over the course of the week due to the majority of the money coming in on the favorite.
Of course, getting in too early can often backfire if a better number appears over the course of the week or if injuries that are typically not announced until coaches give status reports on Monday press conferences dramatically alter expectations. There’s also a big rush on betting action just before the kickoff of any game, which means you may be best off waiting until kickoff approaches to get the right number.
Take the 2019 college football Big 12 matchup between Texas-West Virginia as a prime example. The Longhorns opened as an 11.5-point favorite and won 42-31 after the Mountaineers scored the game’s final touchdown with :48 left. West Virginia backers who got in early prevailed on that score, while Texas bettors who guessed wrong and got in too early caught a “bad beat.” Those who waited and laid only 10.5 points still cashed. Get in at the best number!
College Football Opening Line.
Opening Lines in college football are typically set on Sunday afternoons in the current week and you usually see immediate action cause line movement. The Spread is based on a rough projection of a score for every matchup, although oddsmakers have a good idea of what side the betting public will want to bet and usually saddles that team with an additional point or three. The same goes for the Total, which projects the combined number of points expected in a contest.
These numbers are based on simulations that take a number of statistical factors into account in addition to baking in injuries, a homefield advantage that is typically worth three points and any other potential edges. Teams coming off bye weeks are usually given an edge thanks to increased preparation time and fresher bodies. Teams coming in on short rest or that have to travel out of their element typically find themselves penalized in a point spread.
UCLA at Cincinnati (-4)
In the above example, UCLA was made a four-point underdog against Cincinnati in the 2019 season opener for both. The betting public jumped on the team from the higher-regarded conference, perhaps believing that the West-Coast team heading more than halfway across the country was being penalized too harshly and the line closed at 2.5 points. Cincinnati prevailed 24-14. The opening line of 4 was accurate in calling for a larger margin of victory than the closing line, which is where the вЂopener’ ultimately ends up.
VI Consensus College Football Line.
The Total is also available on the VI Consensus line and similarly consists of the current betting line which most frequently among our list of Las Vegas and Global sportsbooks. For an example, in the most recent National Championship between LSU and Clemson , there was significant line fluctuation throughout the two-week lead up. LSU was laying 5.5 to 6 points in multiple locations as the favorite. The battle of Tigers ended with LSU blowing out Clemson 42-25, covering the spread handily.
NCAAF Odds.
Final.
What do NFL odds look like?
During the college football season, there will be dozens of games on the board most Saturdays. Three types of odds are the most common:
Point spread: The point spread, also called the “side,” evens the playing field in a lopsided matchup.
With this example, bettors backing the underdog New Mexico State need the Aggies to win or keep the losing margin to 35 points or less. Alabama would need to win by 36 or more points for Crimson Tide bettors to cash that wager.
Over/under: These bets, also called the “total,” are simple. The sportsbook sets a line on combined points by both teams, and bettors can take over or under that point total.
Moneyline: This bet removes the point spread, with corresponding odds for the favorite and underdog.
In this example, Ohio State backers would need to lay $400 on the favorite Buckeyes to win $100. A $100 bet on Penn State would return $350, but the Nittany Lions would have to win straight up.
Which future bets are available for college football?
The most popular future bet is on the College Football Playoff national champion. Bettors can also wager on who will win the Heisman Trophy, and usually sportsbooks offer future bets for over/under win totals on teams from the major conferences.
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