doctor bob's football picks

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п»їDoctor bob's football picks.
Bob Stoll founded Dr. Bob Sports in 1987 while studying statistics at UC Berkeley. In those 32 years Dr. Bob has been one of the most profitable and respected handicappers in the nation. Bob uses advanced math models with adjustments for current personnel/injuries that have proven to give him an edge over the Vegas line. Dr. Bob’s picks have an influence on the betting markets and his long term results are rivaled by very few public handicappers.
NFL Best Bets 222-166-2 (57.2%), including 132-78-2 (63%) on sides, in 4 seasons using an advanced NFL play-by-play model.
NBA Guru.
NBA Guru has two decades of handicapping experience in which he has utilized a background in math, finance, economics, and psychology to find value in the sports betting market.
ESSAYS.
Sports Betting as an Investment.
Most people think that sports betting is about finding ‘sure things,’ but in reality such ‘locks’ are nothing more than gamblers’ fancy. Read More.
Money Management.
Tired of losing his money to the house, a bored millionaire in Las Vegas turns to you and offers you a proposition that you can’t refuse. Read More.
Advanced Topics.
A general understanding of the role that variance plays in betting and in life can help prepare advanced investors for the swings that naturally occur in betting. Read More.


College Football.
Dr. Bob.
Packages Available.
Daily/Weekly Recap.
College Bowls and 2020 Season Recap.
It is unfortunately fitting that the final Best Bet of the College Football season was a 1/2 point loss on a game that looked like a winner the entire way – and should have been a winner. It took 31 4th quarter points to push the North Carolina-Texas A&M game over 67.5 points. The game shouldn’t have even been close to going over, as the teams combined for just 782 total yards even with explosive touchdown plays of 76 yards and 75 yards. Neither team could consistently move the ball (just 5.1 yards per play combined without those two big plays included) and the 782 yards on 125 plays projects just 55.3 total points. That was a very good bet and will be recorded as my second undeserved Best Bet loss of the season. The other undeserved loss was Auburn -2.5 vs S. Carolina when Auburn outgained the Gamecocks by 179 yards but were an uncharacteristic -2 in turnovers (only 6 offensive turnovers combined in their other 10 regular season games and 3 vs South Carolina). I also had a Best Bet loss on the East Carolina-Tulsa Under that was featured as one of Scott Van Pelt’s 3 worst beats of the year (in all sports). That was a brutally unfair ending that caused us to lose that game (3 officials mistakes) but I counted that one as a toss-up game that lost due to the stats projected score being pretty close to the total.
For the season my College Best Bets are 28-28-3 for -4.9 Stars (0-1 on 3-Stars, 8-7 on 2-Stars, 20-20-3 on 1-Stars with -0.15 of juice) and my Strong Opinions are 25-19-2 for the season .
The Best Bets were just 2-5-3 on toss-up games (instead of 50%) and with 2 undeserved losses against zero lucky wins this season (my first college season without a lucky win). The Best Bets were just 28-28-3 but winning those two games I certainly deserved to win and going 3-4-3 on toss-up games instead of 2-5-3, would have resulted in a decent 31-25-3 record (55.3%), which is right at my all-time win percentage in college football. The Strong Opinions were 25-19-2 (57%), so overall my level of handicapping in 2020 was pretty solid, especially considering the amount of late-breaking news due to the Covid pandemic. I’ve has seasons when the luck has been on my side too and this season I’ve won more close games than I’ve lost in the NFL, which has been incredibly good, so no complaints about this football season overall (81-53-3 on all Football Best Bets), although I suppose the few of you that haven’t been on the NFL have some complaints.
Free Analysis.
My Week 16 Free Analysis sides were 9-8 ATS and 2-3 on differences form the line of 4 points or more. The totals were 10-7 (1-3 on differences or 6 points or more, which are historically profitable). For the season, the Free Analysis sides are just 149-166-1 (38-44 on differences of 4 points or more) while totals are 166-161-5 (19-19 on differences from the line of 6 points or more, 45-34 on differences of 5 or more).
This will likely be the first season in which the Free Analysis sides with differences from the line of 4 points or more have not been profitable and the first season in which all Free Analysis sides will have a losing record. However, the Best Bets and Strong Opinions are a decent 51-41-2 (55.4%) and going forward the free plays should be profitable given the long term record.
The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 2064-1856-73 ATS since 2013 , which is very good picking nearly every game over 8 years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are a profitable 688-587-27 . Totals on the Free pages are now 1807-1757-31 in the 7 seasons I’ve been tracking them.
The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis .


NFL Picks Against the Spread and Expert Predictions, Tips, Parlays.
NFL picks and expert predictions as well as betting tips and parlays for all of this weeks games. All of our expert NFL predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated weekly.
The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium (6:30 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Tom Brady for the Buccaneers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (3:05 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start the game are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Buffalo Bills go up against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium (6:40 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Josh Allen for the Bills and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
The Cleveland Browns hit the road to play the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium (3:05 PM EST). The probable starting quarterbacks are Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to take on the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome (6:40 PM EST). The expected starting QBs are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Drew Brees for the Saints. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
The Baltimore Ravens take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and Josh Allen for the Bills. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
The Los Angeles Rams take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (4:35 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Jared Goff for the Rams and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Chicago Bears take on the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome (4:40 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears and Drew Brees for the Saints. This matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free NFL prediction for tonight.
The Baltimore Ravens hit the road to play the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium (1:05 PM EST). The expected starting quarterbacks are Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and Ryan Tannehill for the Titans. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
The Los Angeles Rams go up against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field (4:40 PM EST). The expected starting quarterbacks are John Wolford for the Rams and Russell Wilson for the Seahawks. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
The Indianapolis Colts hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (1:05 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Philip Rivers for the Colts and Josh Allen for the Bills. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Washington Football Team at FedEx Field (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Alex Smith for the Football Team. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
The Cleveland Browns hit the road to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread.
The Minnesota Vikings hit the road to play the Detroit Lions at Ford Field (1:00 PM EST). The probable starting QBs are Kirk Cousins for the Vikings and Matthew Stafford for the Lions. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
The Miami Dolphins hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Tua Tagovailoa for the Dolphins and Josh Allen for the Bills. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The New Orleans Saints play the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium (4:25 PM EST). The probable starting QBs are Drew Brees for the Saints and Teddy Bridgewater for the Panthers. This matchup report includes betting lines and our NFL pick of the day for this game.
The Dallas Cowboys take on the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start under center are Andy Dalton for the Cowboys and Colt McCoy for the Giants. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread.
The Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to play the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The QBs expected to start the game are Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers and Baker Mayfield for the Browns. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
The Green Bay Packers hit the road to play the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field (4:25 PM EST). The probable starting quarterbacks are Aaron Rodgers for the Packers and Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears. This matchup report has your NFL football pick of the day as well as NFL football odds for the game.
The Washington Football Team hit the road to take on the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field (8:20 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Dwayne Haskins for the Football Team and Jalen Hurts for the Eagles. This matchup report includes odds, betting predictions and a free pick against the spread.


Dr Bob Sports Handicapping Review.
Company Background.
Dr Bob Sports Company Description: …My most recent math model for college football, which debuted in 2004, has been incredibly successful and led to an article in the Wall Street Journal, appearances on CNBC, and a story about my service on ESPN’s E:60 magazine show. That extra attention makes it a bit more challenging to stay ahead of the odds makers, who are now fully aware of me and my plays, but I will continue to adjust my models. Their line-setting methods have caught up to about where I was in 2003, but I have several factors of analysis that I do not think that the odds makers have considered yet. Furthermore, the lines are heavily influenced by public opinion, which is frequently off-base, and that makes my job much easier. My handicapping philosophy is now based more on my math models than on the technical analysis, because the math models have been so good, but I still use a combination of factors to come up with my Best Bets….
Sports Handicapper(s): Bob Stoll.
Covering these sports: NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, MLB.
Sports Handicapping Pricing.
Free Sports Picks: Free sports picks are available Daily Pick Price: NA Weekly Package Price: NA Monthly Package Price: $525.
Our Handicapping Review of Dr Bob Sports.
What to expect: Bob Stoll offers good but costly insights. He has a variety of season long packages that cost one to two thousand dollars. If you are managing a large investment he could be a good option but if you aren’t it will be very tough to win enough to cover the cost of these picks. He is open about his past performances so you can evaluate him for yourself. Unfortunately his winning percentage has dropped the last few years. Overall we are comfortable with this sports handicapper. We have seen some good picks come from Dr Bob and have heard good things from other sports gamblers that use this service. He is well respected amongst his peers.


Doctor bob's football picks.
EPA is Expected Points Added, ATS is Against The Spread, YPPL is yards per play, YPPP is yards per pass play.
2016-20 NFL Results.
2016-20 NFL Best Bets are 281-193-2 (59.4%) – 159-88-2 on Sides , 96-83 on totals, 6-3 1st-half totals, 8-11 team totals, 11-7 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.
NFL Best Bets are now 59-27 (69%) this season, including 41-15 the last 11 weeks!
2016-20 NFL Strong Opinions are 176-143-8 (55.2%) – 77-81-7 sides, 67-50-1 totals, 1-1 1st-half sides, 4-1 1st-half totals, 4-4 Team Totals, 2-1 teasers, 21-5 Post-season prop bets.




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