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week 3 sep 3 football picks - FabioIneks - 02-08-2021 NFL football pool, pick'em, confidence picks for Week 3, 2020: Back the Buccaneers. SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top office pool picks for Week 3. Week 3 will feature star-studded quarterback matchups. Dak Prescott vs. Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers vs. Drew Brees, Deshaun Watson vs. Ben Roethlisberger and Patrick Mahomes vs. Lamar Jackson highlight the Week 3 NFL schedule. All five matchups feature spreads of five points or fewer according to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from William Hill, making for plenty of close NFL office pool picks. Should you completely avoid these star-studded quarterback battles when locking in your Week 3 NFL confidence pool picks? A total of 14 matchups have one-score NFL lines in Week 3, but which underdogs are poised for upsets this week, and which teams should you target with your NFL pool picks? Before you make your NFL picks, you need to see the Week 3 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model. This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Now the model has simulated the entire Week 3, 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them. Top Week 3 NFL office pool predictions. One of the top Week 3 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: The Buccaneers earn a comfortable victory on the road against the 0-2 Denver Broncos. Tom Brady recorded his first victory as a member of the Buccaneers last week with a resounding 31-17 win over the Carolina Panthers. Running back Leonard Fournette had a strong showing for the Bucs, recording 12 carries for 103 yards and two touchdowns. Wide receiver Mike Evans also had a big day, hauling in seven passes for 104 yards and a score. Meanwhile, Denver suffered major losses on offense in its 26-21 loss to the Steelers. Quarterback Drew Lock suffered a shoulder injury and will miss Sunday's game against Tampa Bay, while wide receiver Courtland Sutton tore his ACL and is out for the season. In addition, Denver enters Sunday's showdown having won just one of its last five games against teams from the NFC. The model projects that the injuries will be too much to overcome for Denver as backup quarterback Jeff Driskel struggles to put up points, resulting in the Buccaneers winning outright in almost 70 percent of simulations. How to make Week 3 NFL office pool picks. The model also made the call on every other Week 3 game and has strong picks for potentially close games like Bills vs. Rams and Vikings vs. Titans. It's also calling for a favored Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks at SportsLine. NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 3, 2020: Proven model backing Browns, Buccaneers. SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 3 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results. Week 3 of the 2020 NFL schedule will feature eight games with NFL spreads of four points or fewer. As a result, picking which NFL Vegas lines to target as you make your Week 3 NFL bets could be a challenge with so many major injuries changing the dynamic. The Panthers will have to figure out how to move the football without star running back Christian McCaffrey, who suffered a high-ankle sprain. Carolina is a 6.5-point underdog against the Chargers in the Week 3 NFL odds from William Hill. The 49ers were decimated by injuries in Week 2, but the defending NFC champions are still 3.5-point favorites on the road against the Giants in the Week 3 NFL Vegas spreads. The Giants won't have Saquon Barkley, but San Francisco lost Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas on defense, which could dramatically change the complexion of that game. All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago. It's off to a strong 5-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 3 on an incredible 101-67 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Now, it has examined the latest Week 3 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all. Top NFL predictions for Week 3. One of the top Week 3 NFL predictions the model recommends: Cleveland covers as a seven-point favorite at home against Washington. The Browns are 1-1 and coming off a 35-30 win over the Bengals last Thursday. The extended rest should serve them well against Washington. The Browns breezed to a cover the last time they had 10 days off, winning 41-24 as 11-point favorites against Miami last year. Quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for 327 yards and three touchdowns in the victory, while Nick Chubb had 106 yards rushing and a score. The Browns rushed for 215 yards last week against the Bengals, while Washington's defense gave up 160 yards on the ground to the Cardinals in a loss last week. That's why the model predicts nearly 140 combined rushing yards for Chubb and Kareem Hunt as the Browns cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. Another one of the top Week 3 NFL picks from the model: The Buccaneers (-5.5) cover as road favorites against the Broncos. Denver has been one of the hardest-hit teams when it comes to injuries. The Broncos entered the season without linebacker Von Miller (Achilles), and they've since lost receiver Courtland Sutton (ACL) for the season and quarterback Drew Lock (shoulder) for the foreseeable future. Running back Phillip Lindsay (foot), meanwhile, is doubtful, while rookie receiver Jerry Jeudy (ribs) is questionable. The model projects that those injuries will take a toll against a Tampa Bay defense that is giving up fewer than 350 yards per game. The simulations also show Bucs QB Tom Brady pushing for 300 passing yards, while running back Leonard Fournette finds the end zone. Tampa Bay covers well over 50 percent of the time, while the teams combine for 44 points, clipping the over (42.5). How to make Week 3 NFL picks. The model also has made the call on the big Chiefs vs. Ravens matchup on Monday Night Football as well as every other game on the Week 3 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 3? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,300 on its top-rated NFL picks. PFT’s Week Three picks. MDS is building an early-season lead. As he seems to always do. Last week, MDS nailed 14 of 16 games straight up, and 11 of 16 against the spread. I did well but not well enough, with a 13-3 record straight up and 9-7 ATS. For the year, MDS has a record of 24-8 straight up, and 21-11 against the spread. I’m 21-11 and 16-16, respectively. For this week’s picks, scroll away. MDS’s take : The NFL is not exactly putting its best foot forward with the early slate of Thursday night games, but the Jaguars have at least looked like a more competitive team than most were expecting. Gardner Minshew will continue making the case that Jacksonville doesn’t need to find its franchise quarterback, because he’s already there. MDS’s pick : Jaguars 27, Dolphins 20. Florio’s take : The Jaguars have become a pleasant surprise, even if not many have noticed. On Thursday night, they’ll have a chance to get the nation’s attention. Florio’s pick : Jaguars 27, Dolphins 20. Titans (-2.5) at Vikings. MDS’s take : The Vikings may be the NFL’s most disappointing team so far this season. Ryan Tannehill will continue his strong early-season showing as Minnesota falls to 0-3. MDS’s pick : Titans 30, Vikings 20. Florio’s take : The Titans have played too well to barely win two games. This week, they’re getting a team that suddenly have plummeted from contender to pretender to pathetic. Florio’s pick : Titans 24, Vikings 10. MDS’s take : The Bears are 2-0 and the Falcons are 0-2, but that may say more about the quality of the team’s they’ve played than anything else. The Falcons will get their first win on Sunday. MDS’s pick : Falcons 23, Bears 20. Florio’s take : The Bears have been living on the edge. The Falcons have been dying on the edge. A correction is in order. Florio’s pick : Falcon 31, Bears 27. MDS’s take : Carson Wentz has looked like a mess so far this season. I’m not expecting him to look great, but he should be better against a suspect Bengals Defense. MDS’s pick : Eagles 24, Bengals 21. Florio’s take : I’m buying Joe Burrow, and I’m selling the Eagles. Until they lose enough games to finally wake up. Florio’s pick : Bengals 24, Eagles 21. MDS’s take : Washington’s defensive front has talent, but I see the Browns running on them in a low-scoring and fairly unexciting game. MDS’s pick : Browns 20, Washington 7. Florio’s take : Baker Mayfield struggled against a great defense, and he picked apart a less-than-great one. To avoid a repeat of Week One, the Browns need to run to set up the run, and then run some more. Florio’s pick : Browns 20, Washington 17. 49ers (-4) at Giants. MDS’s take : Both teams are struggling with injuries right now, but the 49ers have a roster that can overcome those injuries. The Giants do not. MDS’s pick : 49ers 31, Giants 14. Florio’s take : Both teams have endured major injuries, with the 49ers taking even more of a pounding. Florio’s pick : 49ers 24, Giants 13. MDS’s take : The Texans aren’t as bad as they look, but they’ve been handed a brutal early schedule. They’ll fall to 0-3 on Sunday. MDS’s pick : Steelers 20, Texans 17. Florio’s take : The Steelers took too long to put the Giants away, and the Steelers allowed the Broncos to hang around too long. The offense should be better this week as Ben Roethlisberger gets more comfortable, and the Texans continue to navigate a who-did-they-piss-off? early-season schedule. Florio’s pick : Steelers 23, Texans 17. MDS’s take : Josh Allen is going to keep throwing downfield, and if he can use his feet to get away from Aaron Donald, the Rams are going to have a hard time stopping him. MDS’s pick : Bills 31, Rams 28. Florio’s take : The Rams have rebuilt on the fly, and they’re better than many expected them to be. The Bills are too good, however, and the L.A. to Philly to L.A. to Buffalo travel demand won’t help. Florio’s pick : Bills 27, Rams 23. MDS’s take : Las Vegas is 2-0, but a long road trip on a short work week is going to make this a tough one. MDS’s pick : Patriots 28, Raiders 24. Florio’s take : The Patriots are for real. The Raiders eventually could be. For now, though, winning at New England is too much to expect from the most unlikely 2-0 team in the AFC. Florio’s pick : Patriots 30, Raiders 20. MDS’s take : I’m not sure I’d pick the Jets to beat anyone right now. Sam Darnold is playing better than people think, but he’s not getting much help. MDS’s pick : Colts 20, Jets 10. Florio’s take : The Jets’ roster still needs more pieces before it can compete, much less contend. And the Colts have picked up plenty of confidence after last week’s shredding of the Vikings. Florio’s pick : Colts 27, Jets 13. MDS’s take : This Panthers team is playing hard for first-year coach Matt Rhule, but right now the roster just isn’t good enough. The Chargers will cruise to an easy win. MDS’s pick : Chargers 28, Panthers 14. Florio’s take : Justin Herbert in, Christian McCaffrey out. Chargers on their way. Florio’s pick : Chargers 24, Panthers 13. Buccaneers (-6) at Broncos. MDS’s take : If the Broncos were at full strength I’d probably pick them to win this one, but they have so many injuries I just can’t see them winning. MDS’s pick : Buccaneers 17, Broncos 14. Florio’s take : Mile High Stadium has been a house of horrors for Tom Brady. He’s never faced a Broncos team with so little punch, however, given the home team’s rash of injuries. Florio’s pick : Buccaneers 20, Broncos 13. MDS’s take : Dak Prescott and Russell Wilson will both have big games, but Wilson will do just a little more, in a matchup that I have a funny feeling we’ll see again in January. MDS’s pick : Seahawks 31, Cowboys 27. Florio’s take : This one could be a shootout, given that both teams have great offenses and work-in-progress defenses. The Seahawks currently have made more progress on both sides of the ball. Florio’s pick : Seahawks 30, Cowboys 21. MDS’s take : The Cardinals’ offense looks fresh and exciting, and the Lions’ defense looks stale. It’s hard for me to believe Kyler Murray won’t have a very big game. MDS’s pick : Cardinals 35, Lions 21. Florio’s take : The Lions won’t have to worry about blowing another double-digit lead this week. Florio’s pick : Cardinals 31, Lions 21. MDS’s take : If I were a Saints fan I’d be worried about Drew Brees‘s arm, as he’s throwing short passes almost exclusively. And yet I think the Saints’ defense matches up pretty well with Aaron Rodgers, and so I think the Saints can pull out a close win here. MDS’s pick : Saints 17, Packers 16. Florio’s take : The warning signs are blinking quickly as to the potential decline of the Saints. Throw in a short week and a trip back from Vegas and a Packers team firing on each and every cylinder, and this one has a chance to get ugly. Florio’s pick : Packers 31, Saints 23. MDS’s take : These look like the two best teams in the league right now, in a monster of a prime time game. I’ll pick Lamar Jackson to make one more big play than Patrick Mahomes. MDS’s pick : Ravens 28, Chiefs 21. Florio’s take : If the Kansas City defense was shredded by a rookie in his first start, it could be facing even more problems against the defending MVP, whose passing keeps getting better and better. Florio’s pick : Ravens 27, Chiefs 24. NFL Week 3 picks: Predictions for Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars | Thursday Night Football. Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew (15) passes as he is pressured by Tennessee Titans inside linebacker Rashaan Evans (54). AP. Week 3 of the 2020 NFL season will feature a marquee Thursday Night Football game on Thursday, September 24, 2020 when the Miami Dolphins take on the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. Kickoff is slated for 8:20 p.m. ET on NFL Network. The Dolphins are led by head coach Brian Flores, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick and tight end Mike Gesicki. Miami comes in with an 0-2 record after a Week 2 loss to the Bills. The Jaguars are led by head coach Doug Marrone, quarterback Gardner Minshew and defensive back C.J. Henderson. Jacksonville comes in with an 1-1 record after a Week 2 loss to the Titans. Here’s how our experts see the game playing out: Chris Ryan : Minshew Mania is all the rage right now. But give me some Fitzmagic in this game. Ryan Fitzpatrick does just enough to beat Garnder Minshew and get the Dolphins their first win, while also reminding everyone the Jaguars aren’t a very good football team. Dolphins 27, Jaguars 22 . Matt Lombardo : Gardner Minshew is the real deal! Just imagine the hype that would be centered around the quarterback and DUUUUUVAL, if he had been a first-round draft pick. Minshew and the Jaguars go from being a punchline to a legitimate storyline with an emphatic win on Thursday Night Football. Jaguars 31, Dolphins 17 . Zack Rosenblatt : Ahh, the sweet smell of mediocre Thursday night football. The season has truly started. Jaguars 17, Dolphins 14. Mike Kaye : It was nice of the league to spare us from the annual TNF joke game of Jags-Titans this year. See, 2020 isn’t that bad. Anyway, Gardner Minshew is a lot better than you think he is (probably) and so are the non-tanking Jaguars. Jaguars 20, Dolphins 13 . Buy Tom Brady Bucs jersey: Fanatics, NFL Shop. Darryl Slater : Quite the thrilling Thursday night game, eh? This is a winnable matchup for the Jaguars, who might not be tanking after all. At what point do the 0-2 Dolphins turn to Tua Tagovailoa? Jaguars 14, Dolphins 13 . Joe Giglio : Can someone make a Spiderman meme of Ryan Fitzpatrick and Gardnew Minshew before they face off? Watching Minshew do his thing is like watching a young Fitzpatrick, and I mean that in a good way. This will be a fun shootout. Short week, two scrappy teams and some desperation from the visitors. Give me Miami in a (small) upset. Dolphins 26, Jaguars 24 . 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