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football picks week 2 - FabioIneks - 02-07-2021 NFL Week 2 odds and picks: Lamar Jackson stays hot in Houston, Joe Burrow covers on 'Thursday Night Football' Here's a look at who'll cover the spread in Week 2 of the NFL season. Wasn't that awesome?! After months of agonizing about whether or not we'd even have football in 2020, the regular season came out in full force this past week and delivered a bunch of quality games across the opening slate. Not only did we have a ton of football to consume, but there were a number of intriguing storylines to come out of Week 1, including Cam Newton running all around the field in his Patriots debut, Aaron Rodgers coming into 2020 with a Mt. Everest-sized chip on his shoulder, and Mitch Trubisky (. ) balling out as Chicago rallied to beat the Lions. Of course, we also had some flubs as Philip Rivers seemingly picked up where he left off in Los Angeles with his inconsistent play in the Colts' opening loss to Jacksonville. Tom Brady also struggled in his Bucs debut and the Browns, well, they were the Browns. As we turn the page to Week 2, there are a number of interesting games on the docket, including two must-see quarterback showdowns: Lamar Jackson vs. Deshaun Watson and Cam Newton vs. Russell Wilson. Both of those matchups found themselves in my locks of the week along with Thursday's showdown between Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfielld. Strap in folks, the 2020 season is just getting started. All odds are via William Hill Sportsbook (9/16). Week 2 is finally here, so who should you pick? Pete Prisco, R.J. White and SportsLine's Kenny White join Will Brinson on the Pick Six Podcast to breakdown their best bets, gambling advice and more; listen below and be sure to subscribe for daily NFL goodness. Locks of the week. Cincinnati at Cleveland. 8:20 p.m. ET (NFLN) Point spread: Cleveland -6. Baltimore is going to be a force all season long, but Cleveland looked completely disjointed in its opening loss to the Ravens, scoring just six points on the afternoon. Baker Mayfield and company will get a much softer landing spot in the Bengals, but I wouldn't sleep on this Cincy squad, especially with Joe Burrow under center. The 2020 No. 1 overall pick was solid in his NFL debut all things considered, and I like the situation they find themselves in on Thursday night. Despite being on a 13-game losing streak on the road, the Bengals own a 8-5-0 ATS record over that stretch and are 8-3 ATS when getting four or more points. Six of the last seven quarterbacks taken with the No. 1 overall pick have also covered in their second career start and three have enjoyed outright wins. Pick: Cincinnati and the points Score prediction: Cleveland 21, Cincinnati 17. Carolina at Tampa Bay. 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX) Point spread: Tampa Bay -9. I did have the Buccaneers winning the opener against New Orleans in an upset, but I also wasn't shocked to see Tom Brady struggle a bit in his Tampa Bay debut. After all, the legendary quarterback was going up against one of the more established teams in the NFL and was doing so with weapons that he has little experience with. It shouldn't be that surprising that they looked a bit clunky out of the gate. With that said, I like a bounce-back game here by the Bucs and specifically the offense. Carolina's defense won't strike fear into any quarterback this season and should be a solid opportunity for Brady -- who has never started a season 0-2 in his career -- to show out. The last time Brady lost his first two starts ATS was back in 2013. I don't expect that to happen here. Pick: Tampa Bay -9 Score prediction: Tampa Bay 28, Carolina 10. Baltimore at Houston. 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Baltimore -7. The Ravens arguably look even better than they did a season ago and this club has been an absolute monster ATS. Baltimore has covered in 10 of its last 11 games, including five straight leading into Week 2. In 2019, the Ravens also covered all four of their games when giving away six or more points on the road. Lamar Jackson is also a beast on the road, owning a 9-2 ATS record as a starter. I expect all those trends to continue to roll here in what should be a high-flying game between Jackson and Houston's Deshaun Watson. Pick: Baltimore -7 Score prediction: Baltimore 33, Houston 17. New England at Seattle. 8:20 p.m. (NBC) Point spread: Seattle -4. Cam Newton and the Patriots impressed in the quarterback's New England debut, as he rushed for two touchdowns in the Week 1 win over Miami. While Newton was efficient as a passer, the Patriots' weapons around the quarterback are a bit suspect and may not be enough to keep up with the Seahawks, who are finally letting Russell Wilson cook. Speaking of Wilson, Seattle has covered in 71% of their primetime games since the quarterback made his debut in 2012. They've covered 80% of primetime games when favored by a field goal or better over the stretch as well. Pick: Seattle -4 Score prediction: Seattle 21, New England 14. Kansas City at L.A. Chargers. 4:25 p.m. (CBS) Point spread: Kansas City -8.5. By my view after Week 1, Kansas City still looks like the most polished team in the league and -- given its potent offense -- should be favored by double-digits in most of its contests. Los Angeles needed a fourth-quarter rally to beat the Bengals in Joe Burrow's first-career start. In Kansas City's season sweep of the Chargers in 2019, the average margin of victory was just six points. I throw that out the window here and see a double-digit win for the defending champions as they continue to cruise to begin 2020. Pick: Kansas City -8.5 Score prediction: Kansas City 27, L.A. Chargers 17. Rest of the bunch. L.A. Rams (-1) at Philadelphia The pick : L.A. Rams -1 Score prediction : L.A. Rams 24, Philadelphia 17. N.Y. Giants at Chicago (-5.5) The pick : N.Y. Giants and the points Score prediction : Chicago 24, N.Y. Giants 21. Jacksonville at Tennessee (-9) The pick : Tennessee -9 Score prediction : Tennessee 21, Jacksonville 10. San Francisco (-7) at N.Y. Jets The pick : San Francisco -7 Score prediction : San Francisco 28, N.Y. Jets14. Buffalo (-5.5) at Miami The pick : Bills -5.5 Score prediction : Buffalo 20, Miami 13. Denver at Pittsburgh (-7.5) The pick : Denver and the points Score prediction : Pittsburgh 24, Denver 20. Atlanta at Dallas (-4.5) The pick : Falcons and the points Score prediction : Dallas 27, Atlanta 24. Detroit at Green Bay (-6) The pick : Green Bay -6 Score prediction : Green Bay 27, Detroit 20. Minnesota at Indianapolis (-3) The pick : Minnesota and the points Score prediction : Indianapolis 23, Minnesota 21. Washington at Arizona (-6.5) The pick : Washington and the points Score prediction : Arizona 21, Washington 17. New Orleans (-5.5) at Las Vegas The pick : New Orleans -5.5 Score prediction : New Orleans 28, Las Vegas 21. Picks Record. Against the spread in Week 1: 6-9-1 ATS overall: 6-9-1. Straight up in Week 1: 8-8 SU overall: 8-8. NFL odds, picks, predictions for Week 2, 2020: Advanced computer model backing Ravens, Chiefs. SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 2 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results. Two of the most surprising teams in the league play each other on Sunday for the right to start 2-0 as Washington visits the Arizona Cardinals at 4:05 p.m. ET. Washington rallied from a 17-point deficit to beat the Eagles 27-17 last weekend, while the Cardinals overcame two fourth-quarter deficits to upend the defending NFC champion 49ers, 24-20. Washington's victory puts them alone atop the NFC East, but Arizona is a seven-point favorite in the latest Week 2 NFL odds from William Hill. Can Dwayne Haskins and Washington keep up the momentum and improve to 2-0, or will Kyler Murray and Arizona stay undefeated atop the NFC West? And which team will cover one of the largest NFL spreads this week? All of the Week 2 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 2 NFL picks now. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,400 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago. After going 4-0 on top-rated picks in Week 1, it enters Week 2 of the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 100-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Now, it has examined the latest Week 2 NFL odds and lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all. Top NFL predictions for Week 2. One of the top Week 2 NFL predictions the model recommends: the Ravens (-7) cover against the Texans. Baltimore looked dominant last week against the Browns, easily covering a touchdown spread after winning by 32 points. This week, the model is calling for more of the same from Lamar Jackson and company. It's calling for three total scores from the Ravens' quarterback in a decisive 30-18 victory. Baltimore runs for almost 200 yards, while Texans quarterback Lamar Jackson has nearly the same chance of throwing an interception as a touchdown. Baltimore covers in nearly 60 percent of simulations. Another one of the top Week 2 NFL picks from the model: The Chiefs (-8.5) cover as road favorites against the Chargers. The Chiefs looked strong against the Texans in Week 1, winning 34-20. Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes threw for 211 yards and three touchdowns, while rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran through the rain for 138 yards and another score. While the Chargers weren't as dominant in Week 1, the result was the same. Los Angeles engineered a fourth-quarter rally to upend Cincinnati 16-13, with Tyrod Taylor throwing for 208 yards and Austin Ekeler adding 84 rushing yards. The Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak against the spread versus teams with winning records and are 11-1 against the number in their last 12 September games. SportsLine's model says Mahomes throws for over 280 yards and two touchdowns and that Edwards-Helaire is the game's leading rusher, with the Chiefs covering in almost 60 percent of simulations. The over (47.5) also clears well over 50 percent of the time. How to make Week 2 NFL picks. The model also has made the call on the big Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup on Sunday Night Football as well as every other game on the Week 2 NFL schedule. It's also identified a favorite that loses outright in a surprising upset. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 2? And which favorite gets stunned? Check out the latest NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,400 on its top-rated NFL picks. NFL Picks: Week 2. After cracking jokes about the Jacksonville Jaguars before the season opener, of course, the Jags go out and knock off the Indianapolis Colts. Such is the nature of making NFL picks. When it seems like a sure thing — the Colts were eight-point road favorites — it’s probably not. Time to regroup in Week 2, where the games sure don’t seem as difficult. Yeah, that should be enough to make any picker nervous. The Colts (0-1) are three-point home favorites against the Minnesota Vikings (0-1) on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium. Both defenses had issues last week, the Colts against quarterback Gardner Minshew II and the Vikings facing quarterback Aaron Rodgers. If for no other reason than to show some faith in the home team and not disappoint Colts fans who might be a bit worried about an 0-2 start, the pick goes to the Colts. For what it’s worth, at the time of this posting, a majority of the Sports Illustrated NFL publishers favored the Vikings over the Colts, 16-7. But as last week reminded, who knows what will happen? Good luck, pickers. PhilB’s Picks. Bengals at Browns — Browns. Giants at Bears — Bears. Falcons at Cowboys — Cowboys. Lions at Packers — Packers. Jaguars at Titans — Titans. Vikings at Colts — Colts. Bills at Dolphins — Bills. 49ers at Jets — 49ers. Rams at Eagles — Eagles. Broncos at Steelers — Steelers. Panthers at Buccaneers — Buccaneers. Washington at Cardinals — Cardinals. Chiefs at Chargers — Chiefs. Ravens at Texans — Ravens. Patriots at Seahawks — Seahawks. Saints at Raiders — Saints. Week 1 — 10-6 (.625) Overall — 10-6 (.625) Phillip B. Wilson has covered the Indianapolis Colts for more than two decades, including two Super Bowls, and wrote the 2013 book "100 Things Colts Fans Should Know & Do Before They Die." NFL picks, predictions for Week 2: Cowboys, 49ers get on board with wins; Vikings edge Colts. NFL picks and predictions for Week 2 of the season are much less of a crapshoot than they were for opening weekend given the newfound knowledge we have about all 32 teams, but we're not about to suggest that there are any sure bets. If anything, teams like the Colts and Eagles last week reinforced the fact that even some of the biggest favorites based on the odds can lose. Now some contenders are flirting with a damning 0-2 hole to start the 2020 NFL season. Based on the odds, Week 2 is expected to be a big one for the home teams, as the road team is favored in just five of the 16 games on the schedule. And of the games that feature home favorites, several of them have been set with point spreads that suggest the game is all but a toss-up. With that as the background, below are our picks and predictions for Week 2 of the NFL season. As always, our point spreads are courtesy of Sports Insider. NFL picks, predictions for Week 2. Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (-6) Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network. At the risk of overreacting to a solid debut for Joe Burrow, we can't help but trust him more than Baker Mayfield in this game given what the latter showed us last week to start his third NFL season. The Browns suddenly are in the rare "must-win" spot in Week 2; if they lose to the Bengals, their season could quickly fall into the tank. The good news for Cleveland is that Mayfield is just one many players and coaches who are feeling the same pressure. They have no choice but to respond. Pick : Browns 21, Bengals 17. Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-7) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox. This is another matchup of teams trying to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. The Cowboys, though, have many more positives to take away from their Week 1 loss than the Falcons do. Matt Ryan should be able to exploit some favorable matchups again, but Dak Prescott and the Cowboys' offense this week don't have to deal with the game-wrecker that is Aaron Donald. Pick : Cowboys 34, Falcons 27. Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS. Both of these teams are playing on short weeks, which in theory works in favor of the team that doesn't have to deal with travel. The Steelers have realistic title aspirations in 2020 with Ben Roethlisberger back in the lineup to support a dominant defense. The Broncos are not yet on that level, especially without their best player, Von Miller. Pick : Steelers 28, Broncos 17. Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles (-3) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox. This matchup makes the Eagles' Week 1 clunker against Washington much worse, because the level of difficulty rises significantly against the Rams. If Washington was able to sack Carson Wentz eight times, what are we supposed to expect Aaron Donald and Co. to do? If the Eagles' defense can get the Rams' offense off schedule, Philly will have a good chance to win. If not, it's an 0-2 start for the defending NFC East champs. Pick : Rams 27, Eagles 21. San Francisco 49ers (-7) at New York Jets. Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox. Overreactions to Week 1 results are common, and suggesting the defending NFC champions are in trouble because they lost their season opener to a division rival is certainly an overreaction. Suggesting the Jets are still bad does not feel like an overreaction. Adam Gase's team needs to flip that perception quickly before things get nasty in New York, but that's unlikely to happen in Week 2. Pick : 49ers 30, Jets 20. Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-5 1/2) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox. As tempting as it might be, and even though everybody else is doing it, the Packers can't look at the Lions as the "same old Lions" after Detroit gifted Chicago a win last week. This is still a tricky division game against a team that had reasonable expectations for 2020 but was embarrassed in Week 1. The better team should still win even if the game is closer than expected. Pick : Packers 26, Lions 23. Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts (-3) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox. The Colts getting a field goal at home makes this a toss-up game in the eyes of oddsmakers, which seems reasonable for a contest featuring a pair of contenders who suffered disappointing results in Week 1. The Vikings, though, lost to a much better team than the Colts did. They also have more stability at quarterback and better health in the running game. Pick : Vikings 30, Colts 24. New York Giants at Chicago Bears (-5 1/2) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS. We doubt lightning will strike twice, so if the Bears fall behind in this game, don't expect Mitchell Trubisky to get his team back into contention by making big throw after big throw. This will be more about coach Matt Nagy's offense running on schedule against a defense it can manage. Pick : Bears 26, Giants 20. Buffalo Bills (-5 1/2) at Miami Dolphins. Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS. Many subscribe to the theory that legitimate contenders need to win all of the games they're supposed to win. So here's the second consecutive chance for the Bills to prove their legitimacy in 2020 to that crowd. Chances are they won't have a problem doing to the Dolphins almost exactly what the Patriots did in Week 1. Pick : Bills 21, Dolphins 10. Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7 1/2) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox. Carolina's offense looked good in the first game of the Matt Rhule/Joe Brady era, but there's a significant difficulty increase from Las Vegas' defense to that of Tampa Bay. And that young Panthers defense that couldn't keep a Derek Carr-led offense out of the end zone enough? Meet Tom Brady. Pick : Buccaneers 35, Panthers 24. Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-10) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS. The Gardner Minshew magic was impressive in Week 1 as the Jags upset the Colts, but Indianapolis didn't exactly help itself with a pair of costly turnovers. The Titans are less likely to throw the game away and more likely to give Minshew trouble in the passing game. Pick : Titans 24, Jaguars 17. Washington Football Team at Arizona Cardinals (-7) Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox. Who had these two teams being undefeated in Week 2? Both are riding the highs of their respective Week 1 upsets, but Washington feels like its playing with house money more so than Arizona. The Cardinals suddenly have legitimate hopes of contending in the NFC West after knocking off the defending champs. This game should only reinforce that optimism. Pick : Cardinals 30, Washington 20. Kansas City Chiefs (-8 1/2) at Los Angeles Chargers. Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. It's the Chargers' turn for their home opener at the brand-new SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, but it might not go as well as it did for the Rams against the Cowboys in Week 1. The Chargers got away with an average offensive performance in their escape against the Bengals. They won't get away with it against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Pick : Chiefs 34, Chargers 21. Baltimore Ravens (-6 1/2) at Houston Texans. Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. It's hard to think of a more brutal way to start the season than a schedule that features games against the Chiefs and the Ravens in the first couple of weeks. Houston had some moments in its loss to Kansas City to start the year, but not enough for us to think it can upset Baltimore and avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. Pick : Ravens 33, Texans 26. New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks (-4) Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. The is the first real test for the Patriots' new offense with Cam Newton, and the NFL scheduling gods give it to us in a primetime spot on national TV. The Seahawks will present the Patriots new challenges on that side of the ball, but we all know Bill Belichick's bunch will do the same to Russell Wilson. Seattle is fortunate that its quarterback is known for adjusting on the fly and leveraging his many talents to squeak out wins. Pick : Seahawks 28, Patriots 24. New Orleans Saints (TBD) at Las Vegas Raiders. Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN and ABC. This is not the party the opening of the brand-new Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas was supposed to be, but at least the Raiders are riding the high of a Week 1 victory. The lack of fans in the stadium should be the least of the home team's concerns against the Saints, who, based on their Week 1 win over the Bucs, are primed for another run at a Super Bowl. Too much Alvin Kamara in this one. NFL football pool, pick'em, confidence picks for Week 2, 2020: Back the Buffalo Bills. SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top office pool picks for Week 2. Entering NFL office pool picks seems easy, but as Week 1 of the 2020 NFL schedule proved, wins aren't guaranteed. Prohibitive underdogs Jacksonville and Washington proved the experts wrong in Week 1, and Week 2 has the potential for even more upsets. Ten of the 16 games on the Week 2 schedule feature NFL spreads of less than a touchdown, but even favorites like the Titans, Buccaneers and Chiefs aren't immune to a potential upset. So how do you lock down winning NFL confidence pool picks? Should you target the favorites, or sprinkle in upsets with your NFL bets? Before you make your NFL picks, you need to see the Week 2 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model. This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Now the model has simulated the entire Week 2 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them. Top Week 2 NFL office pool predictions. One of the top Week 2 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: The Buffalo Bills win comfortably on the road against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Quarterback Josh Allen became Buffalo's first quarterback to top 300 yards passing in three years in a 27-17 Week 1 victory over the New York Jets. Allen finished with 312 passing yards and two touchdowns and added a team-high 57 rushing yards and another score. The Dolphins were competitive against the New England Patriots, but couldn't overcome Cam Newton's debut in a 21-11 loss. Miami quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick out-passed Newton by 36 yards, but Fitzpatrick also threw two interceptions, while Newton scored two rushing touchdowns. The model predicts that Allen will be significantly better than Fitzpatrick and that the Bills' defense will hold Miami to under 100 rushing yards. That's a big reason why the model has Buffalo winning this game in well over 50 percent of simulations. How to make Week 2 NFL office pool picks. The model also made the call on every other Week 2 game and has strong picks for potentially close games like Rams vs. Eagles and Vikings vs. Colts. It's also calling for a favored Super Bowl contender to go down hard in Week 2. 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