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suicide football picks - FabioIneks - 02-07-2021 Last Man Standing NFL Survivor or Suicide Pool Picks for Week 17. NFL survivor pools are becoming more and more popular every season. While “Survivor” is the most common used name for this contest, several will refer to it as a Knockout, Elimination or Suicide Pool. The goal is pretty straight forward. In order to win the pool, you simply have to be the last person left standing. How it Works: Unlike fantasy leagues, where you often will look to cap your league at a certain number of players, the more people the better in a Survivor Pool. Most of these pools will require an entry fee. How much is really up to you and the people you are playing with. I think a good starting point is $50. The number of people and entry fee all needs to be taken care of prior to the season starting. Using the Week 1 schedule, all contestants will submit one team that they think will win. If the team you selected wins, you advance to Week 2. If the team you pick loses, it’s game over (some leagues do offer people the chance to buy back in if they lose prior to like Week 5 or something). The big catch is that you can only use each team once. For example, if you pick the Packers to win in Week 1, they are no longer an option the rest of the way. You keep repeating the process until there is only one person left in the pool. If by chance multiple people go all 17 weeks without losing, the pot is typically split between all remaining survivors. However, it’s pretty rare that it comes down to this. General Game Theory & Strategy for Survivor Pools. Basic Guidelines. Use Vegas Point Spreads – It would silly to not at least take a look at the NFL betting lines for the games. The books are straight up telling you who they think the better team is. You are going to last a lot longer in this thing picking teams who are -7 or more than trying to sneak by each week with a small favorite or underdog. Try to Avoid Road Teams – It’s not easy winning on the road in the NFL. In 2018 there were only 7 teams in the entire league that posted a winning record away from home. Be Careful of Division/Rivalry Games – Crazy things seem to happen in division/rivalry games. You see a lot of upsets in these matchups. Try to avoid these unless there’s a significant gap in talent. Check Injury Report/Suspensions – I think this is pretty straight forward. The big point I want to make, is that it might not be a bad idea to wait until closer to the deadline to make your pick for the week. More and more injury information becomes available the closer we get to game time. Why not wait and use that info to your advantage. Don’t Just Focus on the Best Teams – Too many people get caught up in picking the best teams, while this could lead to some early success in your pool, it’s going to be difficult to maneuver your way through the second half of the season with a bunch of bad teams to pick from. Pro Tips. Advanced Scheduling – Don’t just look at things on a week-to-week basis. If you want to consistently be one of the last people left in your pool, you need to start looking at the schedule as a whole. Vegas sets early odds in the spring/summer for every game Week 1 – Week 16. Use these odds to see how many easy games (-7 or more) each team has. Teams with a lot of easy games are ones you want to save until later. Good teams with only a few elite spots to back, are ones you want to look to play early on. If you got the time, try to map out your picks for every week before the season starts. Pick Percentages – This is the contrarian approach to Survivor Pools. You want to use whatever resources you can (ESPN, Yahoo, Etc.) to try and find out what the consensus picks are for that week and avoid these teams. The goal here is to take less obvious choices who are maybe playing against a bad team and hope that there’s some big upsets. If 60% of the pool is on one team and that team loses, your chances of winning go up drastically. Free NFL Expert Last Man Standing Pool Picks. Each week I’m going to give my thoughts on some teams. I’m going to give you my favorite team to play, some others you might want to consider and a few that I recommend avoiding. Note that a lot of the logic used for survivor pool picks go hand-and-hand with handicapping the point spreads. My Best Survivor Picks – Week 17. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS vs Jacksonville Jaguars (Colts -14) BALTIMORE RAVENS @ Cincinnati Bengals (Ravens -13) Another great option is Baltimore, but my guess is most of you don’t have the Ravens at your disposal. If you do, lock it in now. While the Ravens don’t have to win this game to get in (would also get in with Colts or Browns loss), it’s unlikely they would get the help needed if they were to lose to the Bengals. Baltimore is surging down the stretch and I just don’t see a scenario where they don’t find a way to win this game against a depleted Cincinnati team. Top Value Plays. TENNESSEE TITANS @ Houston Texans (Titans -7.5) The Titans can get into the playoffs via a number of different scenarios, but they won’t be leaving anything up to chance. Not to mention, they need to win this game to lock up the AFC South title, which means they get to play at home on Wild Card weekend instead of on the road. This should be an easy game for the Tennessee offense against an awful Texans defense. Deshaun Watson will do his thing, but Houston just doesn’t have the weapons offensively to keep pace. CLEVELAND BROWNS vs Pittsburgh Steelers (Browns -9) The Browns need to win at home against the Steelers on Sunday to lock up a playoff spot and couldn’t have walked into a better situation. The Steelers seem to be content with the No. 3 seed and have stated that they will be resting several of their starters, including quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. The only concern here is Cleveland has had to shutdown their facility again this week because of Covid. You definitely want to wait and see how that plays out, but it’s hard to see the Browns not finding a way to win this game. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS vs Atlanta Falcons (Bucs -6.5) If you still have Tom Brady and the Buccaneers available, they are definitely worth a look. While the Bucs have already secured a playoff spot as one of the three Wild Card teams, there is plenty of incentive for Tampa Bay to win this game. With a win the Bucs would secure the No. 5 seed, which means they would get to play the NFC East winner in the first round. A loss and they could fall back to the No.6 and have to play on the road against either the Saints or Seahawks. Suicide Team to Avoid. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ Carolina Panthers (Saints -6.5) It’s not so much that I expect the Saints to lose this game, but I wouldn’t be shocked if they did. Even with a win and a Packers loss, the Saints can’t improve to the No. 1 seed. There is some incentive to get the No. 2 seed and ensure a home game in the Divisional Round, but they could also decide to rest some guys knowing they have to play next week. Carolina only lost by 3 at New Orleans earlier in the year and I got a feeling they show up to win on Sunday. For more great free content this week check out my teaser of the week. Survivor Pick Assistant. Helping you make picks for your Survivor, Suicide, or Knockout football pool, for one week or the whole season. How does this work? Overview. This tool will help you select the optimal picks for your NFL Survivor Pool. The 'Survivor Grid' tab will help you plan out the entire football season, while the 'Pick Suggestions' tab will offer survivor pick advice for the current week. How our Survivor Grid Works. How to select your picks The NFL teams you will choose are shown on the left. Their opponents are shown for each week, along with either the actual point spread (in black) or the an estimated point spread (in red) for the game. The brighter the green background, the more the team you are choosing is favored. To choose a team for a certain week, click on the opponent. Pick percentages Pick percentages of how many people took each team for the current week are shown on the left. To see percentages for a different week, simply click the week heading. Sorting the grid Click on the column headings to sort the grid. You can sort by the weekly spreads, future value, or pick percentages. Survivor Pick Suggestions. Pick suggestions for your Survivor Pool are offered for the current week based on the users pick history (as entered in the 'Grid' tab), with an emphasis on efficient usage (saving teams for their most optimal week). Suicide football picks. [EDITOR'S NOTE -- Make your entry in the elimination pool by leaving a comment IN THIS THREAD.] Things sure have changed these days, right? The website is different. The country is different. Heck the world is different. Bring back a sense of normalcy in your life by joining the 9TH ANNUAL BGN SUICIDE POOL. Hosted by Snax. That’s me. If for some reason you haven’t just scrolled down to the comments, join me in welcoming our newest member of the BGN suicide pool Hall of Fame. 2019: jherman1580 [13 Weeks] 2018: SaturdayNightKless [14 Weeks] 2017: Schmolik64 [17 weeks. ] 2016: A Contrarian Mindset [10 weeks] 2014: The Joker [13 weeks] 2013: ChuckCool [10 Weeks] 2012: greenmaestro [7 Weeks] 2011: RadioheadBeatlesEagles [10 Weeks?] We ran two pools in 2015 and I won the 2nd one. Swear to god, look it up. Anyway, here are the same ol rules: Each pool member chooses one NFL team Picks are made "straight up." No spreads are being used in this pool. If you make a correct pick, then congratulations! You advance to the next week. You make an incorrect pick, then you will be eliminated. Ties count as a win. As a show of respect, this will now be known as the Brandon Lee Gowton Rule. You can only pick a team once per season (if you pick the Eagles in Week 1, you won't be able to pick them again that season). You will be able to see the teams you have picked so far in a table that will be included in the Suicide Pool fanposts. Last player standing wins If all players advance past week 17, then we will go into the playoffs. If we make it to the Super Bowl and both players want to choose the same team or there are more than 2 players in contention, then we will also predict the final score to the game. Whoever is closer wins. If the team you pick has to cancel their game before they play due to a COVID-19 outbreak in their facility, you lose. Nah just kidding. ALSO, PUT YOUR PICKS IN THE SUBJECT LINE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY NECESSARY IF YOU PLAN ON YAPPING ON ABOUT NOTHING. THANKS. Also you can probably expect these on WEDNESDAYS in the FANPOSTS (which are getting further and further down the front page. You know how that goes; remembering is half the battle anyway) . If WEDNESDAY doesn't work for you and you want to put your pick earlier, you put your next pick in the old FanPosts, assuming you've already advanced. I'll see it, probably. Welp, let’s get to it. Here are the Week one slate of games: Top NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy for Week 5, 2020. Mike Tierney just locked in his Week 5 NFL survivor pick. It's Week 5 of the NFL season, and if you've nailed your NFL survivor pool picks each week so far, you know how perilous the season has been. Upsets have crumbled plenty of NFL knockout pool picks, injuries are piling up and several popular teams are playing below expectations. The Week 5 NFL schedule has numerous big favorites you might find enticing, but you likely have already scratched a few of those teams off your board, while others have red flags. The Ravens (-13 vs. Bengals) and Chiefs (-12 vs. Las Vegas) could be popular NFL picks for survivor pools, but you might need to look at teams like the Seahawks (-7 vs. Vikings) or Cowboys (-9.5 vs. Giants) and proceed with caution. Future schedules should always be a consideration for NFL football pool picks as well. Before making any Week 5 NFL survivor picks, see what NFL guru Mike Tierney has to say. SportsLine's all-time No. 1 NFL expert, Tierney excels both straight-up and against the spread. Anyone who has followed his NFL picks is up more than $3,750. Last year, Tierney went 161-94-1 on straight-up NFL picks, beating the vast majority of experts on NFLPickWatch. A renowned sportswriter who's reported from seven Super Bowls, Tierney is an authority on the survivor pool format. In Week 1 -- when hundreds of thousands of survivor players blew their entire season by picking the Colts, Eagles or 49ers -- Tierney rolled with the Ravens over the Browns. The result: Baltimore 38, Cleveland 6. Then Tierney advanced with the Steelers (Week 2), Colts (Week 3) and Rams (Week 4). He has studied the entire regular-season schedule, plotting out which team he plans to take each week. You can only see his optimal survivor pool strategy over at SportsLine. Top Week 5 NFL survivor pool predictions. For Week 5, Tierney is not going with the undefeated Seahawks, who are laying a touchdown to Minnesota, or the Cowboys, who are 9.5-point favorites over the winless Giants. Seattle is undefeated and Russell Wilson has been stellar, but a long trip home from Miami before preparing to face a dangerous Vikings offense makes it too risky. Dallas has the NFL's top offense, but it will be a sketchy option until the major problems with its defense are resolved. Seattle ranks last in the league in passing defense at more than 400 yards per game, while Dallas is the worst (by far) in total defense at more than 500 yards per game. "The Cowboys are fortunate to have one win and are yielding 36.5 points per game, which could breathe life into an offense as static as New York's," Tierney said. Your best bet is to look at other options this week. How to make Week 5 NFL survivor pool picks. There's a much better option, Tierney says. He has a confident pick on a team he says will cruise to a convincing Week 5 win. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 6, Tierney says, it will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine. Best NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy for Week 3, 2020. Mike Tierney just locked in his Week 3 NFL survivor pick. The 2020 season upended many NFL survivor pool picks in Week 1, but Week 2 saw favorites go 14-2 straight-up. Now, the Ravens, Chiefs and Packers are unbeaten, while the Bengals, Dolphins and Lions are winless. Can you count on the Colts, who are the biggest favorites of the week at -11.5 at William Hill, against the floundering Jets in your NFL knockout pool picks? What about the Cardinals giving six points to the seemingly inept Lions or the Chargers as 6.5-point favorites against the struggling Panthers? Which NFL survivor pool strategy should you follow a week after stars like Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey went down with injuries? Before making any Week 3 NFL survivor picks, see what NFL guru Mike Tierney has to say. SportsLine's all-time No. 1 NFL expert, Tierney excels both straight-up and against the spread. Anyone who has followed his NFL picks is up more than $4,400. Last year, Tierney went 161-94-1 on straight-up NFL picks, beating the vast majority of experts on NFLPickWatch. A renowned sportswriter who's reported from seven Super Bowls, Tierney is an authority on the survivor pool format. In Week 1 -- when hundreds of thousands of survivor players blew their entire season by picking the Colts, Eagles or 49ers -- Tierney rolled with the Ravens over the Browns. The result: Baltimore 38, Cleveland 6. In Week 2, Tierney advanced with the Steelers, who beat the Broncos, 26-21. He has studied the entire regular-season schedule, plotting out which team he plans to take each week. You can only see his optimal survivor pool strategy over at SportsLine. Top Week 3 NFL survivor pool predictions. For Week 3, Tierney is not going with the 2-0 Cardinals, even though they're hosting the struggling Lions. The Cardinals still have games coming up against the Panthers, Jets and Dolphins, so it would be wise to save them. Meanwhile, the Cardinals and Lions met in Week 1 last season, and Detroit had the upper hand for most of the game before they tied 27-27. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford can still be dangerous, while top target Kenny Golladay should be back from a hamstring injury, so Tierney will steer clear of this one. How to make Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks. Instead, Tierney has a confident pick on an underrated team whose opponent will be at a major disadvantage. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 4, Tierney says, but it will also put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. 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