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ncaa football picks week 8 - FabioIneks - 02-07-2021 College football odds, picks, predictions for Week 8, 2020: Proven model backing Alabama, Penn State. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 college football game 10,000 times. The eight-game Big Ten schedule means a smaller margin of error for teams in that conference during the 2020 college football season. The Week 8 college football odds from William Hill list No. 5 Ohio State as a 26-point favorite against Nebraska, while No. 18 Michigan is laying 3.5 points on the road against No. 21 Minnesota in two of the more intriguing matchups in the opening weekend of Big Ten action. A loss for any of those contenders would be a huge setback for their postseason outlook. Should you target either of those lines during the Week 8 college football schedule? And which other games around the nation should you jump on in your Week 8 college football bets? Before making any Week 8 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's proven model. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 25-13 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $700 in profit already. Anybody who has followed it is way up. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 8 from William Hill and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head to SportsLine to see every pick. Top Week 8 college football predictions. One of the top Week 8 college football picks the model is recommending: No. 2 Alabama (-21.5 at William Hill) covers on the road against Tennessee in the 3:30 p.m. ET SEC on CBS matchup. Alabama is coming off an impressive 41-24 victory over then-No. 3 Georgia in Week 7. Quarterback Mac Jones and running back Najee Harris are building Heisman campaigns, while receivers Devonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle will also be a lot to handle for a Tennessee team that stumbles into this matchup after getting blown out 34-7 by Kentucky. The Vols have huge concerns at quarterback. Jarrett Guarantano hasn't been able to protect the ball this year and Tennessee very well could end up playing multiple guys on Saturday. The simulations show Jones throwing for almost 300 yards, with Harris adding around 100 on the ground as Alabama covers well over 60 percent of the time. Penn State put up big numbers on offense last season, scoring an average of 35.8 points per game. The Nittany Lions will be without running back Journey Brown, who is out with an undisclosed medical issue, but they have a strong replacement in Noah Cain, who scored two touchdowns in Penn State's Cotton Bowl win over Memphis to wrap up last season. Quarterback Sean Clifford also returns after throwing for 2,654 yards and 23 touchdowns last season. The model is calling for Clifford to throw for well over 200 yards, while Cain has a great chance to score a touchdown as Penn State covers in well over 60 percent of simulations. The under (62) also has plenty of value since that hits almost 70 percent of the time. How to make Week 8 college football picks. The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in Week 8, and it is also predicting a major upset in the SEC. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. So what college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 8? And which SEC underdog will pull off a shocking upset? Check out the latest Week 8 college football odds below for some of the week's biggest games, and then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $4,100 in profit over the past four-plus seasons, and find out. USA TODAY college football staff picks for Week 8. Oregon State University renovating Reser Stadium. Minnesota high school debate team ranked tops in nation. Juniper Brewing Company open for business and brews in downtown Bowling Green. A Magee Trojan picks Auburn as signings continue. COVID-19 In Pennsylvania: 3 College Students Create Website For Finding Vaccine. Souper Bowl of Caring: KHOU, others team up to help fill HISD food pantries. Alabama State University announces agreement with the Alabama Shakespeare Festival. Tamari Key named SEC co-Player of the Week. Florida loses one of its best defensive players in Kyree Campbell. Michigan winter high school contact sports can resume Feb. 8. Samaritan Ministries gets ready to host the Souper Bowl. Stanford surgeons top own record with 86 heart transplants. How the chili half-smoke from Ben's Chili Bowl became Washington DC's signature dish. Oregon State University renovating Reser Stadium Oregon State University is giving Reser Stadium a makeover. Morgan Romero has the details. KGW-TV Portland Minnesota high school debate team ranked tops in nation Minneapolis South High School debate team just earned the number one spot in a new national coaches poll KARE-TV Minneapolis-St. Paul Juniper Brewing Company open for business and brews in downtown Bowling Green A pair of BGSU grads decided to move back to Northwest Ohio and set up shop in downtown Bowling Green to help with your morning jolt and happy hour hankering. WTOL Toledo. The gang is almost back together. With the start of the Big Ten and Mountain West seasons, all but the MAC and Pac-12 are present and accounted for this college fotball weekend. The biggest game takes place in the Big 12 with conference unbeatens No. 7 Oklahoma State and No. 18 Iowa State facing off. The Cowboys have quietly been under the national radar. That changes this week as the visiting Cyclones, who have already beaten Oklahoma, try to take control of the league. The winner should stay tied with Kansas State atop the conference standings. The loser still controls its fate but with little margin for error. © Jeffrey Becker, USA TODAY Sports Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders tries to avoid the tackle of Iowa State linebacker O'Rien Vance during their 2019 game at Jack Trice Stadium. There is a significant showdown in the Big Ten on tap. No. 17 Michigan and No. 21 Minnesota will meet for the 104th time. The Little Brown Jug is at stake, but it's also an early indicator on where these teams stand coming out of the delayed start. The Wolverines are breaking in quarterback Joe Milton on the road. The Golden Gophers counter with quarterback Tanner Morgan and receiver Rashad Batemen, one of the top passing combinations in the country. Elsewhere, No. 10 Cincinnati travels to No. 16 SMU in a matchup of the remaining two unbeatens in the American Athletic. The victor becomes the favorite to win the Group of Five spot in the New Year's Six and could find itself in the College Football Playoff race. In the ACC, No. 13 North Carolina tries to bounce back from its loss to Florida State when it hosts No. 22 North Carolina State. The rivalry will see one team move forward in in the conference while also gaining bragging rights for the next year. College football picks, odds for SEC in Week 8: Georgia's offensive problem, Tennessee's dysfunction. SEC Smothered & Covered looks at a couple SEC East teams in turmoil heading into late October. Can you believe we're already at the midway point of the season for most teams in the SEC? It's hard to fathom given the turbulence of the offseason and uncertainty surrounding most of college football throughout it, but we've arrived in mid-October with storylines aplenty for the 14 programs that call the conference home. No. 2 Alabama used a big second half performance to pull away from No. 4 Georgia last weekend, solidifying itself as the team to beat this season. The Crimson Tide hit the road this week to take on a reeling Tennessee team in the rivalry traditionally known as the "Third Saturday in October" despite getting pushed later this year. That will be your SEC on CBS Game of the Week at 3:30 p.m. ET. No. 17 LSU will hit the field after having last week's game vs. No. 10 Florida postponed, but it is going to be running into a confident South Carolina team that is fresh off a dramatic win over Auburn. Let's break down some of the biggest SEC storylines entering Week 8 and make picks against the spread. Appetizer: Tennessee's dysfunctional, again. There's a great book by Mark Nagi called "Decade of Dysfunction" that details just how crazy the last decade was for the Volunteers. The new decade isn't exactly getting off on the right foot. Jarrett Guarantano has lost his grip on the starting quarterback spot, defensive line coach Jimmy Brumbaugh was fired after just four games, and two straight losses have erased the good vibes created by the eight-game winning streak that was broken in Week 3. Main course: Georgia's quarterback issues. Georgia on Saturday looked a lot like LSU during the final few years of the Les Miles era against Alabama. It can win games in its somewhat conservative comfort zone that relies heavily on its defense, but it is toast if a team forces it outside of its comfort zone. Why? The offense is limited -- specifically the downfield passing attack. That's on Stetson Bennett IV. The former walk-on known as the "Mailman" has completed just 26.7% of his passes that travel 15 or more air yards beyond the sticks. For comparison's sake, Alabama quarterback Mac Jones is completing 70.6% of those passes, LSU's Myles Brennan is at 61.5% and Vanderbilt's Ken Seals is chiming in at 40%. That despite having George Pickens and Kearis Jackson out there available to haul in those deep balls. Does that mean that there should be a quarterback change? Not necessarily. USC-transfer JT Daniels is still recovering from last season's knee injury, D'Wan Mathis struggled in the opener and Jamie Newman opted out. Smart was asked about that possibility on Tuesday. "We look at the off weeks as an opportunity to get everybody better, so it will be no different at any position in terms of the reps we are able to get," he said. "During a game week, we give ones 78% of the reps, twos 20-30% of the reps, but then our threes get a lot of reps during the week because they go against the other units. This week, we will get to get a lot of guys reps. JT will get reps, D'Wan will get reps, Stetson will continue to get reps. We try to develop our roster -- that's the way we look at it. It doesn't change, it just gives a chance to give more guys work and see where they are in their progress. That's true at every position and true at quarterback." Any possibility of Georgia getting revenge on Alabama in the SEC Championship Game is a pipe dream. That's not to say that Georgia can't get there. Maybe it can. But it will likely have to get into a shootout with SEC East rival Florida, and as we saw last weekend, that probably won't go well for the Bulldogs. Dessert: Props for Sam Pittman, Barry Odom. If you would have told me before the season that Arkansas would be 2-2 (and should be 3-1) in Pittman's first season as an FBS head coach, I would have sent you straight to the doctor to get your head examined. After all, he's in the roughest neighborhood in the country in the SEC West, has a roster that isn't comparable to the rest of the division and didn't get any tune ups prior to the self-contained SEC season. None of that mattered. Why? Because Pittman has the self-awareness to recognize that he's going to need some help to turn this thing around. Enter: Odom. The former Missouri head coach got that job for a reason -- his top tier defensive prowess. That prowess has made its way to Fayetteville, Arkansas, where he has produced a defense that ranks fourth in the SEC in yards per play (5.01), fifth in scoring defense (25.5 PPG), third in third-down conversion percentage (32.25%) and second in opponent red zone touchdown percentage (50%). That'll do, Hogs. SEC college football picks. Odds via William Hill Sportsbook. No. 2 Alabama (-21) at Tennessee : Oddsmakers could make this line Alabama (-41), and I'd still probably take the Crimson Tide. This boils down to one thing: Can "Tennessee Quarterback X" get into a shootout with Jones and the explosive Tide offense? Of course not. I don't like to pick any Bama dial-a-score games, but this one is an exception. This is, at the very least, a four-touchdown game. Pick: Alabama (-21) South Carolina at LSU (-6.5): Can we trust LSU now that it got an impromptu bye week? Will defensive coordinator Bo Pelini remember how to make adjustments? No … we can't. With that said, the Gamecocks don't really stretch the field through the air and shouldn't be able to exploit the Tigers' defensive weakness enough to get the win. Quarterback Myles Brennan is questionable, but that doesn't matter. This offense has been explosive through the air because of the scheme and the receivers, and those guys will lead the Tigers to a double-digit win. Pick: LSU (-6.5) Auburn (-3) at Ole Miss: Who do you trust more, Auburn's offense or Ole Miss' defense? That's a sad, sad question. But Tigers running back Tank Bigsby is averaging 4.1 yards per carry after contact -- the second-most among qualifying running backs in the country. Bo Nix's struggles will put more of the focal point on Bigsby, who has proven that he can handle the workload. Auburn will grind it out, keep the explosive Rebels offense off of the field and get out of Oxford, Mississippi, with a seven-point win. Pick: Auburn (-3) Kentucky (-5) at Missouri: I'll be honest … this line shocked me. Sure, Missouri has had two weeks to prepare for the Wildcats. But have you seen Kentucky's defense? It's next-level good. That will force this game to be an old-school slugfest, which plays right into UK's hands. Its three-headed rushing attack will put a ton of pressure on the Tigers, and it hit a few big plays to pull away late for the win and cover. Pick: Kentucky (-5) Records -- Straight up: 18-8 (2-3 last week) | ATS: 11-14 (3-2 last week) College football picks, predictions against the spread for every Week 8 top 25 game. Big Ten play returns in Week 8 of the college football season, and with a prime-time matchup between No. 18 Michigan and No. 21 Minnesota at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The battle for the Little Brown Jug is one of four games between ranked teams this week. No. 23 North Carolina State travels to No. 15 North Carolina at noon, No. 17 Iowa State meets No. 6 Oklahoma State at 3:30 p.m. and No. 9 Cincinnati travels to No. 16 SMU at 9 p.m. The Mountain West Conference also returns this weekend, and it's the fullest college football Saturday to this point. It's also a chance to improve our record against the spread in AP Top 25 matchups. Here's a look at our track record this season: Last week: 8-4 S/U, 7-5 ATS Overall: 62-22 S/U, 37-40 ATS Top 25: 52-17 S/U, 32-36 ATS. Now, a look at our picks against the spread for Week 8: Friday, Oct. 23. Ilinois at No. 14 Wisconsin (-20) It's Big Ten football on Friday night. The Illini stunned the Badgers 24-23 last season, and the Badgers will have payback on their minds. Graham Mertz is in for an injured Jack Coan, and Wisconsin has a new supporting cast around him. The offensive line should still be good. Pick: Wisconsin wins 34-13 and COVERS the spread. Syracuse at No. 1 Clemson (-45) The spread is ridiculous, but Clemson just beat Georgia Tech 73-7. It's tough to bet when Dabo Swinney can pick the score, and this is one of those instances. The Orange are 2-3 ATS as an underdog this season. Pick: Clemson wins 54-9 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Nebraska at No. 5 Ohio State (-26) These Big Ten fan bases were vocal about bringing football back, and now the Buckeyes get to debut what should be a national championship contender with Justin Fields at quarterback. There might be some kinks, but the line dropped a point. We'll take the value with the Buckeyes. Pick: Ohio State wins 49-20 and COVERS the spread. No. 20 Kansas State (-18.5) at Kansas. The line has moved down a touch from its open. Kansas State has won 11 in a row in the series, but the past two meetings in Manhattan have been decided by an average of fewer than 10 points per game. Pick: Kansas State wins 33-21 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. No. 23 North Carolina State at No. 15 North Carolina (-16.5) The Wolfpack were on a roll, but the loss of quarterback Devin Leary to a broken leg is a serious blow. Bailey Hockman filled in well in a victory against Duke, but the Tar Heels present too many challenges. Pick: North Carolina wins 33-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Georgia Southern at No. 25 Coastal Carolina (-6.5) The Chanticleers are ranked with the help of an offense that averages 40.8 points per game, but they have lost the past two meetings to Georgia Southern. The quarterback matchup between Grayson McCall and Shai Werts should be exciting. Pick: Coastal Carolina wins 30-24 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Florida Atlantic at No. 22 Marshall (-16.5) The Thundering Herd have won every game by 18 points or more and are 4-0 ATS this season. Florida Atlantic has played just one game, but this matchup should play right on that line. Pick: Marshall wins 37-20 and COVERS the spread. No. 2 Alabama (-21) at Tennessee. The Crimson Tide re-established its big-game mojo in a victory against Georgia, and the Vols will be in desperation mode after back-to-back losses the past two weeks. The Crimson Tide make it 14 in a row in the Third Saturday in October. Pick: Alabama wins 48-24 and COVER the spread. No. 3 Notre Dame (-9.5) at Pitt. Pitt is 1-5 ATS, but Notre Dame isn't much better at 1-4. Kenny Pickett didn't play last week because of an ankle injury, and his status could lead to some line movement. Seven of the past eight meetings have been decided by seven points or fewer, but the Irish are 5-3 S/U in those games. We like them a little more this week now that they wear that No. 3 label. Pick: Notre Dame wins 31-20 and COVERS the spread. No. 17 Iowa State at No. 6 Oklahoma State (-6.5) The Cyclones have a big opportunity to take control of the Big 12 race, and Iowa State did win the last meeting in Stillwater in a 48-42 shootout. This is a chance for Breece Hall and Chuba Hubbard to put on a show. Pick: Iowa State wins 35-33 in an UPSET. No. 8 Penn State (-6.5) at Indiana. The Nittany Lions won't have linebacker Michah Parsons or running back Journey Brown, and that makes this opener in Bloomington a little more interesting. Indiana has lost the past two meetings by an average of six points per game. Pick: Penn State wins 31-24 and COVERS the spread. No. 19 Virginia Tech (-7.5) at Wake Forest. Both teams are averaging more than 40 points per game, which is a far cry from the Frank Beamer meme. Expect your typical ACC shootout as a result, and the over is a good play, too. Pick: Virginia Tech wins 38-35 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. No. 18 Michigan (-2) at No. 21 Minnesota. The Big Ten gets the prime-time spotlight between two polarizing coaches in Jim Harbaugh and P.J. Fleck. Michigan won the last meeting 33-10 in 2017, but the Gophers have a real shot at the upset here. The X-factor is new Michigan quarterback Joe Milton. Is the hype real? Pick: Michigan wins 31-24 and COVERS the spread. Virginia at No. 11 Miami (-11.5) The Cavaliers' defense is bad. Virginia has allowed 38 or more points in each of its past three games, and Miami is 4-0 ATS as a favorite this season. Stick with that trend. Pick: Miami wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. No. 9 Cincinnati at No. 16 SMU (-3) It's a battle of AAC unbeaten teams, and the road team has won the past two meetings. The Mustangs have a plus-4 turnover margin, so the pressure is on the Bearcats to protect the football. We like their chances. Pick: Cincinnati wins 34-31 in an UPSET. Texas State at No. 12 BYU (-30) The Cougars are emerging as one of the year's best stories, and they fill the late-night void until the Pac-12 returns. BYU is 4-1 ATS, but Texas State is 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year. Pick: BYU wins 44-16 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Week 8 college football picks, predictions. The college football season enters the midpoint this week, and Week 8 features three matchups between ranked teams. The Pac-12 has a few afternoon matchups in the spotlight with No. 12 Oregon at No. 25 Washington (3:30 p.m., ABC) and No. 17 Arizona State at No. 13 Utah (6 p.m., FOX). The Big Ten gets the primetime spotlight with No. 16 Michigan at No. 7 Penn State (7:30 p.m., ABC). Even No. 1 Alabama gets a primetime slot against Tennessee (9 p.m., ESPN). in the Third Saturday in October. Here is a look at our record so far this season: Straight up: 113-27, .807 (14-4 last week) Against the spread: 77-63, .550 (9-9 last week) Upset picks: 2-8, .200 (1-1 last week)\ With that, Sporting News' Week 8 picks against the spread (provided courtesy of Sportsbook Review as of 2:30 p.m. ET on Monday, Oct. 14) : This should be the best game of the week. Oregon can put a stake in Washington, take control of the Pac-12 North and flex with a defense that ranks third in the FBS at 8.7 points per game. If the Ducks truly are a Playoff contender, then this is the game to show it. Oregon wins 21-17 and COVERS the spread. The Mountaineers are ranked with an offense that ranks 10th in the FBS at 41 points per game. UL-Monroe won the last meeting 52-45 in 2017. Appalachian State wins 41-27 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. The Hawkeyes are coming off back-to-back losses, but there should be some motivation here after losing 38-36 to the Boilermakers last year. Purdue found its rhythm behind 420 passing yards from Jack Plummer last week. Iowa gets back on track, but it takes a while. Iowa wins 31-17 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Vanderbilt is coming off an embarrassing 34-10 loss to UNLV while Missouri has quietly flipped its season in the right direction with five straight wins. Kelly Bryant could go for 300 yards for the second straight week here, but expect Vanderbilt to play with a little more edge at home. Missouri wins 34-14 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. The Bearcats are 5-1 against the spread and covered double digits on the road at Houston last week. Tulsa is coming off a 28-point loss to Navy. Look for Cincinnati to cover late in the fourth quarter. Cincinnati wins 38-17 and COVERS the spread. The Gophers are heavy favorites here, and with good reason. The Scarlet Knights have been shut out three of the last five weeks, with the latest coming against Indiana. Minnesota, meanwhile, has put up 34 points or more in its last five victories. Minnesota wins 41-7 and COVERS the spread. Temple ruined Memphis' unbeaten season last week and has a chance to do it on the road against SMU. The contrast in styles is remarkable, and the Owls will be able to hang around here if the pass defense, which allows 199.5 yards per game, holds up. It will. Temple wins 34-30 in an UPSET . The Cowboys are 1-1 against ranked teams this season, and this is the second time they have been favored to beat a ranked team in Stillwater. The Bears have won four of the last five meetings and proved they can win a shootout against Texas Tech last weekend. Can they do it again? Oklahoma State wins 34-30 and COVERS the spread. It's an elimination game for two Pac-12 South teams, and a chance for the Sun Devils to score a signature victory under Herm Edwards. Arizona State's last four games have been decided by a touchdown or less. This one won't be any different. Utah wins 34-28 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. The average margin of victory in the last three meetings is 33 points per game. These teams love trading blowouts, and in theory it's Penn State's turns. It's on Michigan to prove it can win a big road game, and this is another chance for Jim Harbaugh against a top-10 opponent. This time, we get a close one. Penn State wins 24-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Texas' Playoff hopes crashed in the loss to Oklahoma, and there is little margin for error to get to the Big 12 championship game. This is more about focusing against a Les Miles-team that will throw a few wrinkles at the Longhorns after the bye week. Texas wins 47-20 and COVERS the spread. The Cougars are coming off a bad loss against South Florida and face a Boise State team that has covered each of the last four weeks. The Broncos won the last meeting in Provo by 17 points. Boise State wins 34-17 and COVERS the spread. The Tigers had a week to stew after their loss to Florida, and now comes a road date with Arkansas before the big showdown with LSU. The Razorbacks have lost three straight one-score games and are 2-4 against the spread. Auburn wins 35-14 and COVERS the spread. Georgia is 3-2 against the spread when it is more than 20 points this season, and it got the wake-up call with the upset loss to South Carolina. Kentucky allow 5.1 yards per carry on the ground, and the Bulldogs stay angry in the second half. Georgia wins 42-13 and COVERS the spread. South Carolina is coming off a huge upset, and Florida is coming off a loss in a top-10 showdown. The last five meetings in Columbia have been decided by 10 points or fewer. This one is no different. Florida wins 24-14 and COVERS the spread. There's a small risk of the Badgers peaking ahead to Ohio State, but the Badgers are 5-1 against the spread and have yet to allow more than 15 points in a single game. And the Buckeyes will be watching on TV. Jonathan Taylor goes off for four more touchdowns here. Wisconsin wins 49-7 and COVERS the spread. The Sooners are heavy favorites against the Mountaineers and former quarterback Austin Kendall, though his status is in doubt after suffering a chest injury against Iowa State last week. Oklahoma will cruise at home, but West Virginia finds a way to get the back-door cover. Oklahoma wins 51-21 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. The Wildcats are 4-3 against the spread against the Buckeyes in the last seven meetings, but can their offense keep up with a well-rested Ohio State unit coming off the bye week? Northwestern ranks No. 128 in scoring offense. The Buckeyes cover to improve to 6-1 against the spread for the season. Ohio State wins 42-13 and COVERS the spread. The Cardinals have averaged 51.5 points in back-to-back wins, and Scott Satterfield can use last year's 77-16 loss as motivation. The wagering heavily favors Clemson, which is 4-1 against the spread with lines of more than 20 points this season. We are going against that. It comes down to whether the Cards can score 20 points or not. It will be close. Clemson wins 42-21 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Is this the dreaded trap game for the Tigers? Mississippi State is coming off a loss to Tennessee, and the Tigers have this game sandwiched between top-10 showdowns. LSU lost the last meeting in Starkville by 30 points. Joe Burrow helps the Tigers flip the script. LSU wins 47-17 and COVERS the spread. The spread seems too high until you see the Crimson Tide have won the last three meetings by 39, 38 and 37 points, respectively. It's on Tennessee — coming off a confidence-building victory against Mississippi State — to keep it close. Alabama is 2-2 against the spread when favored by 30 points or more this year. 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