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football picks help - FabioIneks - 02-07-2021 NFL Football Picks. Chiefs vs. Bucs Super Bowl Pick ATS. The Zman likes the Kansas City Chiefs to win and get the spread cover in Super Bowl LV. See what he’s banking here! Super Bowl 55 Pick: Chiefs vs. Bucs. NFL Handicapper Ted Walker is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win Super Bowl 55. Read his detailed reasoning here. Super Bowl LV Total Pick. The No. 2 and the No. 5 scoring offenses will battle it out in Super Bowl LV, so it’s no surprise that the books have set the O/U line at 56.5. NFL handicapper Jay Horne explains which side of the line holds the betting value. Super Bowl LV Best Prop Bets. Winning and losing is always the main focus when it comes to placing football bets, but with the Super Bowl, it’s just as much about “having fun.” Most bettors will let it all hang out on Super Bowl Sunday with a ton of prop bets. Win, lose or draw, it’s ok to have a good time once a year. Check out Loot’s favorite Super Bowl LV prop bets. Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Bets. With a short point spread and no true advantage either way, we look to NFL prop bets to quench our thirst for betting action! Check out Dan’s proposition bet predictions for Sunday’s AFC Championship game between the Bills and Chiefs! Bucs vs. Packers Picks: Prop Bets. With both teams playing excellent football, the Buccaneers/Packers point spread isn’t easy to crack. In times like this, there’s often times better value to be found in betting on props. Check out Dan’s list of value bets for the TB/GB NFC Championship game! NFC Title Pick: Bucs vs. Packers Spread Winner. NFL handicapper Ted Walker has a strong play versus the spread on this week’s NFC tital game. Get his side pick backed by analysis. Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Total Pick. by Jay Horne | Jan 20, 2021 | nfl. Some bettors find more value in the playing the total and that’s exactly where Horne’s money is landing. Get his reasoning and O/U prediction. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Pick. by Jay Horne | Jan 19, 2021 | nfl. What happens when two really good teams meet? The point spread isn’t easy to predict in this scenario, so with few to no edges, an over/under bet is a great betting option! Check out Jay’s take on the TB/GB total here! AFC Championship Picks: Bills at Chiefs. The Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship game might be better than the Super Bowl! Check out Loot’s Buf/KC pick here! NFL Picks. Get our top NFL picks for every game of the 2020/21 season including our NFL picks against the spread. We dive into the data, betting trends, team news, and a lot more to bring you the best expert NFL picks each week. Check out our NFL predictions and NFL best bets pages for our top plays on today’s NFL games. NFL Point Spread Pick. Well, we made it to the end of the season. It’s sad to see the NFL winding down, but we’ve still got one great game left as the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers square off in the Super Bowl. Patrick Mahomes will get his chance at revenge on Tom Brady after falling to him in the AFC Championship game two seasons ago. Oddsmakers have the Chiefs as a three-point favorite, which feels a bit light to me for several reasons. One factor to keep in mind here is that the game is being played in the Buccaneers’ stadium, although I don’t think there will be any home-field advantage to speak of. There will be a limited amount of fans at the game, and many of those tickets are being given away by the league. It’s not as if there is going to be a huge contingent of loud Bucs fans, and if anything I wouldn’t be surprised if Chiefs fans end up outnumbering them. Moving to the on-field matchup, I don’t see how the Chiefs fail to have success throwing the ball. Tampa’s young secondary is exploitable, and every time they’ve faced a quarterback who can push it downfield they’ve been exposed. They might have looked good against an aging Drew Brees with a torn labrum, but the week before that they made Taylor Heinicke look like a franchise quarterback. The Chiefs won by three points when these teams played in Tampa during the regular season, but the game wasn’t as close as that final score indicates. Kansas City was up 17 in the fourth quarter before a couple of late Bucs touchdowns closed the margin. Remember, this is a Tampa Bay team that won all of one game against teams with winning records during the regular season and their playoff run has been very flukey thus far. Brady was mostly horrible against Green Bay as he tossed three interceptions, and it took an extreme series of miscues by the Packers for them to win that game. Their luck may finally run out here. NFL Game Totals Pick. The under also makes some sense here because everybody seems to be underrating this Chiefs defense. Kansas City defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo used the regular season to tinker with his schemes, and he’s been a wizard so far in the playoffs. He just completely shut down Josh Allen and that vaunted Buffalo passing game, limiting Allen to just 6.0 yards per attempt– and that number actually got inflated a lot by garbage time. Again, Brady hasn’t actually played well the past couple of weeks; his opponents just gifted him countless easy opportunities. Against the Saints, Tampa Bay’s three touchdown drives went for a combined 63 yards because of the short fields they were given off turnovers. Playing the Chiefs now, they aren’t going to be so fortunate with the starting field position. While I think the Chiefs’ offense will have opportunities for success, they aren’t going to cover this number by themselves. Tampa Bay’s pass-rush could potentially pose some problems, especially with Mahomes less mobile due to the turf toe he is dealing with. Those problems will only be exacerbated by the absence of left tackle Eric Fisher, who tore his Achilles in the AFC Championship game. This Kansas City secondary is legit and their pass-rush really came alive against Buffalo. The Buccaneers’ defensive front, with the recently healed Vita Vea, should wreak enough havoc to keep this one from going over a total in the mid-50s. Super Bowl Betting. Five key players to watch for Super Bowl LV - Chiefs vs. Buccaneers. Ranking The Top-10 Super Bowls Of All-Time | Which Is The Greatest Ever Super Bowl? Super Bowl LV Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions, picks, odds, spread, lines and betting odds. nfl Top Stories. Latest News. Twitter. NFL Picks. The Home Of Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2020/21 Season. Even though there are just 17 weeks in the regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sports wager. NFL point spreads and season win total prop bets are one of the few in the major sports that are openly discussed by announcers and fans alike. Because of betting, and the popularity of fantasy football, every single game of the NFL season is important, widely discussed, analyzed, and a great opportunity to get in on the action with our free NFL expert picks. Free NFL Picks Explained. There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over unders, parlays , prop bets , daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a wager type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to be diverse and wager as many ways as they can on a game. Both types of players can be successful with a disciplined and calculated strategy which is the great thing about NFL betting. Free NFL Picks Against the Spread. NFL Over / Under Free NFL Picks. When you aren’t 100% confident in which team is going to win in an NFL game, or would rather wager on the game, rather than a team, another exciting way to still get in on the action is with totals wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. This is why last-second field goals in 24 point blowouts are still edge-of-your-seat moments as they can push the total over or under the set line. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in each game of the NFL season. Money Line NFL Picks. NFL Schedule 2020/21. Unlike other sports that have had their seasons widely disrupted due to the Covid-19 pandemic, With the NFL season not due to start until August 2020, it is not yet known the implications the recent events will have on the 2020 NFL schedule. As things stand, the NFL season is expected to start on the 10th September with the Super Bowl Champions, Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium. The NFL regular season schedule is expected to run as normal, with 17 game weeks through until January 3rd, 2021, with the Wild Card round of the playoffs scheduled for the weekend after, across the 9th and 10th January 2021. Super Bowl LV is scheduled for February 7th, at Raymond James Stadium, the home of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Regular Season NFL Expert Picks – NFL Picks This Week. Some sites solely focus on the marquee games of an NFL slate but our system features expert picks for every game of the NFL season. The best way to have success in NFL betting is by finding those under-the-radar games like Miami at Jacksonville that do not draw as much public betting interest as Dallas vs. Green Bay. Our expert handicappers spend just as long researching the under-the-radar games, as they do for a Thursday Night Football or Primetime Football games. Our NFL picks this week are the best ways to get a breakdown and a reading of all the games on an NFL slate, with a complete game preview alongside our best NFL picks for each game. NFL Futures Bets & Playoff Picks. Throughout the NFL season, we also give you other betting options such as our futures picks and individual player prop bets. Not only do we publish our previews and picks for every game of the NFL regular season but we do the same for the playoffs as well. There’s a lot of money to be made in the relatively short NFL season – why not make the most of it? The stakes in the NFL playoffs are even higher and the margins between the teams are usually even smaller. With more on the line and the best against the best, the hours of research and analysis our NFL experts put in are at even more of a premium. Follow our NFL playoff picks throughout the entire NFL postseason, right through to the Super Bowl itself. More Than Just NFL Picks. We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB , NBA , NHL , and College Football and College Basketball . Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well. Football Pick’em Picks. 2020 Pool Picks. Based on years of research, our picks make you up to 10 times more likely to win your NFL pick’em pool. Use our picks for all the popular sites and Vegas contests, including: 70% Win Prizes. On average, 70% of our customers win a prize in a football pick’em each year. 5,000 Hours Of R&D. We’ve built the most sophisticated technology to optimize weekly pick strategy. “The smart pool players use TeamRankings.” Daryl Morey President, Philadelphia 76ers Co-founder, MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference TeamRankings Customer. Here’s How It Works. Customized picks for your pool in 3 easy steps. “We were the winners last year with your custom picks!” – Sue P. “I feel like I have an unfair advantage.” – Scott C. Learn More. In a football pick'em pool you pick a series games each week, typically determined by your pool administrator The most popular format involves picking the winner of every NFL game You also may need to specify a number of confidence points for each of your picks, or some picks may be worth more than others The pool may offer prizes for the players with the highest total score at the end of the season, or for the top scoring players each week, or both If you just need to pick one team each week that has to win its game, you're looking for our NFL Survivor Picks product. Increased Long Term Pool Profits. In most cases, our picks should help you win prizes in football pick'em pools 2x-10x as frequently as your average opponent. The more pools you play in and the higher the stakes, the more that edge is worth. Better Chance For Bragging Rights. Even if you don't win a prize, having a better shot to beat lots of your opponents, or even just one specific opponent (e.g. that boss or spouse of yours who thinks they know football), is worth a lot to some people. Time Savings. A lot of people want to participate in the camaraderie and profit opportunities of pick'em pools, but simply don't have hours to devote to weekly pick research. Our product can pay for itself in a week based on time saved alone. Decreased Nail Biting And Hair Pulling. Being human, you may find it hard to pick against teams you personally like, and you second guess half your decisions a minute after you make them. We strip out all the agony and bias from your pick making. Thanks to this range of benefits, our customer base is quite diverse, and includes: Hard core pick'em players looking for any incremental edge they can get Busy people who want to play at a high level, but value their free time Football experts looking to apply a more data-driven approach to pick making Football neophytes looking to instantly become perennial prize contenders. We've developed proprietary computer models that simulate one-week and season long football pick'em contests These simulations not only forecast game results, but also use historical pick popularity data to project how all players in a given pool will make their picks Running millions of pool simulations gives us a deep understanding of the best picking strategies in many different scenarios Our system leverages that research to identify your best possible picks, based on data you enter about your specific pool Our algorithmic game predictions, which incorporate betting odds and objective stats, provide the foundation for our picks Picks are then customized for your pool's size, scoring system, payout structure, and (for season-long pools) your place in the standings and weeks left Our algorithmically customized pool picks are unique in the industry, and provide a substantial edge over generic "expert picks" from other sources. We would be crazy to guarantee that or set that expectation. Playing in football pick'em pools is less risky than playing the lottery, but it's still a huge gamble. In most pools, participants vie to win a prize that is many times what they paid to enter, all within a timeframe of days or weeks. If sports pools were easy to win, we'd all be billionaires. Even using our picks, you won't be expected to win any given pool. The math here is pretty simple. If you're an average competitor in a 25-person pool, for example, then you should expect to win that pool once every 25 years. Using our picks, you might expect to win that pool once every five years or so. That's pretty amazing -- being about five times as good at winning pools than your average opponent. Yet even having that huge an edge, you're still going to go years at a time not winning anything (and assuming you stick with it, paying for our picks every year along the way). With patience and understanding, you would cash in on an amazing 400% profit on your pool entry fees in the long run if you won that pool every five years. That level of expected ROI blows away alternatives like investing in stocks or real estate. But if you want to achieve it, you've got to have realistic expectations and an over-many-years perspective. 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